Brick wall
5/10Salzburg kept 5 clean sheets in their last 10 (league 25%).
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Salzburg vs Austria Lustenau Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Admiral Bundesliga - Season 2026/2027 (Round 11)
Goal-fest alert
More goals than usual expected in Salzburg vs Austria Lustenau
3.7goals expected · Admiral Bundesliga average 2.8
Since July 2025, games with an alert like this averaged 3.2 goals, and 62% went over 2.5.
Bookmakers: over 2.5 goals 73%
Salzburg vs Austria Lustenau score prediction
Admiral Bundesliga
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Goal-fest alert3.7 goals expected
3.7 goals in total: more goals than a typical Admiral Bundesliga game (average 2.8).
goals expected
Salzburg2.8
Austria Lustenau1.0Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
Goal-fest alert: we expect at least 2.7 goals, clearly more than usual in this league (8.5% above the average). Since July 2025, these games averaged 3.2 goals, and 62% went over 2.5.
Bore draw alert: we expect 2.3 goals or fewer, clearly less than usual (11% below the average). These games averaged 2.2 goals, and 63% stayed under 2.5.
Bookmakers usually see these coming too, so use the alert to know what kind of game to expect, not as a betting edge.
How we measure →Get our AI football prediction and stats for Salzburg vs Austria Lustenau: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.
Salzburg vs Austria Lustenau — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Admiral Bundesliga
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Salzburg to win
Our model 59%Bookmakers 81%
Our track record
In 1,788 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.2% of the time (bookmakers said 61.3%).
Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our model 55%Bookmakers 52%
Our track record
In 5,674 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our model 56%Bookmakers 73%
Our track record
In 5,285 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.3% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our model 67%Bookmakers 49%
Our track record
In 119 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 50.4% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 47.4% than to our 65–70%.
First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our model 40%Bookmakers 29%
Our track record
In 2,218 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 37.3% than to our 40–45%.
Salzburg Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Salzburg 2+ goals
Our model 56%Bookmakers 80%
Our track record
In 3,450 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.8% of the time (bookmakers said 61.1%).
Austria Lustenau Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Austria Lustenau 0–1 goals
Our model 76%Bookmakers 81%
Our track record
In 2,573 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 75.0% of the time (bookmakers said 76.4%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Salzburg vs Austria Lustenau — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Salzburg vs Austria Lustenau. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Salzburg–
Austria Lustenau–Winner
1 59%
BTTS*
Yes 55%
Correct Score
2-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 57%
Salzburg–Austria Lustenau–Winner
1 59%
BTTS*
Yes 55%
Correct Score
2-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 57%
Full Time
159%
X21%
220%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 21% | 79% | 44% | 56% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 57% | 43% | 79% | 21% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17% | 83% | 44% | 56% |
| 44% | 56% | 76% | 24% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 71% | 29% | 88% | 12% |
| 93% | 7% | 98% | 2% |
1st Half
139%
X40%
221%
1st Score
161%
X5%
234%
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
34%
X-1
18%
X-X
13%
2-2
13%
X-2
7%
2-X
5%
1-X
4%
2-1
4%
1-2
2%
Correct Score
2-1
10.7%
1-0
10.3%
1-1
10.1%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.1%
3-0
6.0%
0-0
5.5%
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-2
3.8%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Salzburg vs Austria Lustenau: the stats that stand out
Admiral Bundesliga
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Salzburg: brick wall, hard to break and always on the scoresheet
5/10Hard to break
2/10Salzburg conceded first in only 2 of their last 10 (league 47%).
Always on the scoresheet
1/10Salzburg failed to score in only 1 of their last 10 (league 25%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Salzburg vs Austria Lustenau: attack vs defence
Admiral Bundesliga
Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
other Admiral Bundesliga teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- Salzburg: good attack, good defence (2.24 xG, 1.19 xGA a game)
- Austria Lustenau: weak attack, weak defence (1.36 xG, 2.08 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Salzburg vs Austria Lustenau form and luck check
Admiral Bundesliga
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Admiral Bundesliga gamesBoth results in line with their chances
- SalzburgBookmakers: 81% to win today.Wasteful · −3 goals−1.6
- Austria LustenauBookmakers: 7% to win today. · 9 of 10 games+0.1
Last 5 matches
SalzburgW
D
W
D
W
Austria LustenauL
L
W
L
L
W
D
L
Strength rank: Salzburg 2nd of 12 · Austria Lustenau 12th of 12
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 12 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →Salzburg vs Austria Lustenau: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
Admiral Bundesliga
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averageup to 10 recent Admiral Bundesliga gamesBTTS = both teams scoredSalzburg and Austria Lustenau games both go over 2.5 goals more often than the Admiral Bundesliga average (55%).
Over 2.5 goalsleague 55%
Salzburg6 of 10
Austria Lustenau6 of 9
BTTSleague 56%
Salzburg5 of 10
Austria Lustenau6 of 9
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 190 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Salzburg vs Austria Lustenau corners, cards and goal times
Admiral Bundesliga
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gameAustria Lustenau: last 9 with these statsAustria Lustenau score early, Salzburg late
Salzburg
Austria Lustenau
7.8
Corners won · league 4.9
5.2
3.8
Corners conceded · league 4.9
7.7
0.8
Cards · league 2.0
2.1
1.8
Opponents' cards · league 2.0
1.0
41%
Goals before half-time · league 48%
73%
36%
Goals after 75' · league 23%
9%
29%
Conceded before half-time · league 48%
26%
29%
Conceded after 75' · league 23%
26%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Salzburg3/5
Austria Lustenau3/5
Both Teams to Score
Salzburg4/5
Austria Lustenau2/5
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Salzburg3/5
Austria Lustenau3/5
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Salzburg4/5
Austria Lustenau2/5
First Half Result
Salzburg1/5
Austria Lustenau1/5
Correct Score
Salzburg0/5
Austria Lustenau0/5
correct predictionwrong prediction