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Salzburg vs Wolfsberger AC 2-1 Score & Prediction Review

Admiral Bundesliga - Season 2025/2026 (Round 17)

Fair result
SalzburgSalzburg

2–1

Wolfsberger ACWolfsberger AC
2.1Chances (xG)1.4

On these chances Salzburg would usually take 1.8 points and Wolfsberger AC 1.0; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Salzburg.

Salzburg +1.2 pts vs chancesWolfsberger AC −1.0 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Salzburg vs Wolfsberger AC stats: how the match was played

Admiral Bundesliga

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Level on shots on target

Salzburg

Wolfsberger AC

4

Shots on target

3

6

Big chances

2

7

Corners

3

3

Yellow cards

1

1

Red cards

0

58%

Possession

42%

The match between Salzburg and Wolfsberger AC ended 2-1. Our AI model correctly predicted a Salzburg win with 43% confidence before kick-off. A strong performance overall — our model hit all 4 key markets for this fixture, correctly calling Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Hartberg – Wolfsberger AC prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).

Salzburg vs Wolfsberger AC — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Admiral Bundesliga

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Salzburg to win

Correct
Our model 43%Bookmakers 60%

Our track record

In 3,592 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.2% of the time (bookmakers said 47.0%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct
Our model 58%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 5,690 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 57%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 5,298 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.3% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 66%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 3,952 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.5% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).

First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Salzburg ahead at half-time.

Our model 40%Bookmakers 37%

Our track record

In 1,211 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.2% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 35.1% than to our 35–40%.

Salzburg Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Salzburg 0–1 goals

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Salzburg 2+ goals.

Our model 55%Bookmakers 38%

Our track record

In 1,849 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 42.2% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 43.7% than to our 50–55%.

Wolfsberger AC Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Wolfsberger AC 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 64%Bookmakers 68%

Our track record

In 2,653 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.4% of the time (bookmakers said 63.8%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Salzburg vs Wolfsberger AC 2-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Salzburg vs Wolfsberger AC. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Admiral Bundesliga - Austria
SalzburgSalzburg2
Wolfsberger ACWolfsberger AC1

Winner

1X 68%

BTTS*

Yes 58%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 57%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 56%

Full Time

143%
X25%
232%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT21%79%43%57%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT56%44%80%20%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Salzburg24%76%55%45%
Wolfsberger AC31%69%64%36%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Salzburg79%21%92%8%
Wolfsberger AC86%14%95%5%

1st Half

136%
X40%
224%

1st Score

152%
X5%
243%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

27%

2-2

18%

X-X

15%

X-1

14%

X-2

10%

1-X

6%

2-X

5%

1-2

3%

2-1

3%

Correct Score

1-1

11.4%

2-1

9.1%

1-0

8.4%

1-2

7.9%

0-1

7.0%

2-0

6.4%

2-2

6.1%

0-0

5.5%

3-1

4.8%

0-2

4.7%

3-0

3.6%

1-3

3.5%

3-2

3.3%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Hartberg – Wolfsberger AC prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).

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