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WSG Tirol vs Ried

WSG Tirol vs Ried 1-2 Score & Prediction Review

Admiral Bundesliga - Season 2026/2027 (Round 8)

Fair result

WSG Tirol

1–2

Ried

2.3Chances (xG)1.8

On these chances WSG Tirol would usually take 1.7 points and Ried 1.1; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: WSG Tirol.

WSG Tirol −1.7 pts vs chancesRied +1.9 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

WSG Tirol vs Ried stats: how the match was played

Admiral Bundesliga

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

WSG Tirol had more than twice the shots on target

WSG Tirol

Ried

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

64%

Possession

36%

The match between WSG Tirol and Ried ended 1-2. Our AI model correctly predicted an Ried win with 44% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: WSG Tirol – Grazer AK prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).

WSG Tirol vs Ried — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Admiral Bundesliga

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Ried to win

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: WSG Tirol to win.

Our model 44%Bookmakers 36%

Our track record

In 1,058 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 30.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 30.2% than to our 40–45%.

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct

Our model 51%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 6,456 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Over 2.5 goals.

Our model 52%Bookmakers 42%

Our track record

In 2,836 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.0% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.2% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

Our model 73%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 4,551 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.2% of the time (bookmakers said 71.5%).

First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Ried ahead at half-time

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Draw at half-time.

Our model 40%Bookmakers 29%

Our track record

In 2,219 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.8% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 37.3% than to our 40–45%.

WSG Tirol Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

WSG Tirol 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 71%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 1,581 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.9% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).

Ried Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Ried 0–1 goals

Wrong

Our model 58%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 1,587 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.8% of the time (bookmakers said 60.9%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

WSG Tirol vs Ried 1-2 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for WSG Tirol vs Ried. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Admiral Bundesliga - Austria

WSG Tirol1

Ried2

Winner

X2 71%

BTTS*

Yes 51%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 52%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 63%

· FT

Admiral Bundesliga - Austria

WSG Tirol1

Ried2

Winner

X2 71%

BTTS*

Yes 51%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 52%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 63%

Full Time

129%

X26%

244%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	28%	72%	52%	48%	63%	37%	85%	15%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	28%	72%	52%	48%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	63%	37%	85%	15%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	38%	62%	71%	29%	90%	10%	97%	3%
	27%	73%	58%	42%	81%	19%	92%	8%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	38%	62%	71%	29%
	27%	73%	58%	42%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	90%	10%	97%	3%
	81%	19%	92%	8%

1st Half

122%

X37%

240%

1st Score

135%

X9%

256%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

34%

X-2

15%

1-1

13%

X-X

13%

X-1

2-X

1-X

1-2

2-1

Correct Score

1-1

11.9%

0-1

10.4%

1-0

9.0%

0-0

8.5%

1-2

8.3%

0-2

7.4%

2-1

6.4%

2-0

5.1%

2-2

5.0%

1-3

4.2%

0-3

4.0%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

WSG Tirol vs Ried — Recent Form

Ried have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 5th in the table. WSG Tirol have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 6th in the table.

Last 5 matches

Ried

WSG Tirol

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Ried

1/5

WSG Tirol

3/5

Both Teams to Score

Ried

5/5

WSG Tirol

1/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Ried

2/5

WSG Tirol

2/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Ried

2/5

WSG Tirol

4/5

First Half Result

Ried

1/5

WSG Tirol

3/5

Correct Score

Ried

0/5

WSG Tirol

0/5

Last 5 Matchescorrect predictionwrong prediction

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: WSG Tirol – Grazer AK prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).