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Port FC vs Beijing Guoan Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
AFC Champions League Elite - Season 2026/2027 League Stage (Group Stage) (Round 4)
Port FC vs Beijing Guoan — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · AFC Champions League Elite
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Beijing Guoan to win
Our track record
In 3,630 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.8% of the time (bookmakers said 47.0%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our track record
In 5,747 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.9% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our track record
In 5,336 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.5% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our track record
In 2,418 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.4% of the time (bookmakers said 62.7%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our track record
In 1,201 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 35.3% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 35.0% than to our 35–40%.
Our model’s pick
Port FC 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 3,462 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.8% of the time (bookmakers said 63.9%).
Our model’s pick
Beijing Guoan 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 655 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.7% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 44.7% than to our 55–60%.
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Port FC vs Beijing Guoan — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Port FC vs Beijing Guoan. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Port FC–
Beijing Guoan–Winner
X2 65%
BTTS*
Yes 58%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 57%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 55%
Port FC–Beijing Guoan–Winner
X2 65%
BTTS*
Yes 58%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 57%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 55%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 21% | 79% | 43% | 57% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 55% | 45% | 79% | 21% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 31% | 69% | 62% | 38% |
 | 26% | 74% | 56% | 44% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 83% | 17% | 94% | 7% |
| 80% | 20% | 93% | 7% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
26%
2-2
22%
X-1
14%
X-X
13%
X-2
10%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
1-2
3%
2-1
3%
Correct Score
1-1
11.0%
1-2
8.5%
0-1
8.3%
2-1
7.5%
1-0
7.1%
0-2
6.3%
2-2
5.9%
0-0
5.4%
2-0
4.8%
1-3
4.5%
0-3
3.5%
3-1
3.5%
2-3
3.3%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Beijing GuoanPort FCBoth Teams to Score
Beijing GuoanPort FCOver/Under 2.5 Goals
Beijing GuoanPort FCOver/Under 3.5 Goals
Beijing GuoanPort FCFirst Half Result
Beijing GuoanPort FCCorrect Score
Beijing GuoanPort FC