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Esteghlal vs Al Shamal SC Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
AFC Champions League Elite - Season 2026/2027 League Stage (Group Stage) (Round 4)
Esteghlal vs Al Shamal SC — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · AFC Champions League Elite
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Al Shamal SC to win
Our track record
In 1,080 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 30.1% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 30.2% than to our 40–45%.
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our track record
In 6,494 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.4% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
Our track record
In 5,168 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.1% of the time (bookmakers said 56.5%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our track record
In 4,585 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.2% of the time (bookmakers said 71.4%).
Our model’s pick
Esteghlal 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 2,665 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 69.3% of the time (bookmakers said 67.6%).
Our model’s pick
Al Shamal SC 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 2,665 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.2% of the time (bookmakers said 63.7%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Esteghlal vs Al Shamal SC — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Esteghlal vs Al Shamal SC. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Esteghlal–
Al Shamal SC–Winner
X2 68%
BTTS*
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 64%
Esteghlal–Al Shamal SC–Winner
X2 68%
BTTS*
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 64%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 27% | 73% | 53% | 47% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 64% | 36% | 86% | 14% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 35% | 65% | 69% | 31% |
 | 27% | 73% | 61% | 40% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 89% | 11% | 97% | 3% |
| 84% | 16% | 95% | 5% |
Correct Score
1-1
12.5%
0-1
10.7%
1-0
9.0%
1-2
8.7%
0-0
7.7%
0-2
7.5%
2-1
7.3%
2-0
5.2%
2-2
5.1%
1-3
4.0%
0-3
3.5%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
EsteghlalAl Shamal SCBoth Teams to Score
EsteghlalAl Shamal SCOver/Under 2.5 Goals
EsteghlalAl Shamal SCOver/Under 3.5 Goals
EsteghlalAl Shamal SCFirst Half Result
EsteghlalAl Shamal SCCorrect Score
EsteghlalAl Shamal SC