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Halmstad vs Sirius 3-1 Score & Prediction Review

Allsvenskan - Season 2024 (Round 27)

Fair result
HalmstadHalmstad

3–1

SiriusSirius
1.7Chances (xG)1.1

On these chances Halmstad would usually take 1.8 points and Sirius 1.0; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Sirius.

Halmstad +1.2 pts vs chancesSirius −1.0 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Halmstad vs Sirius stats: how the match was played

Allsvenskan

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Halmstad had clearly more shots on target

Halmstad

Sirius

7

Shots on target

4

3

Big chances

1

6

Corners

7

1

Yellow cards

1

34%

Possession

66%

The match between Halmstad and Sirius ended 3-1. Our AI model predicted an Sirius win at 49% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 2.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Elfsborg – Halmstad prediction & betting tips (Oct 12, 2026).

Halmstad vs Sirius — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Allsvenskan

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Sirius to win

Wrong
Our model 49%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 3,413 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.3% of the time (bookmakers said 50.4%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct
Our model 53%Bookmakers 55%

Our track record

In 6,363 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.2% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 51%Bookmakers 53%

Our track record

In 5,063 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.0% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 71%Bookmakers 70%

Our track record

In 4,471 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.4% of the time (bookmakers said 71.7%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong
Our model 40%Bookmakers 42%

Our track record

In 6,562 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.8% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).

Halmstad Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Halmstad 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 71%Bookmakers 70%

Our track record

In 1,559 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.3% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).

Sirius Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Sirius 0–1 goals

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Sirius 2+ goals.

Our model 55%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 823 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 43.0% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 42.6% than to our 50–55%.

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Halmstad vs Sirius 3-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Halmstad vs Sirius. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Allsvenskan - Sweden
HalmstadHalmstad3
SiriusSirius1

Winner

X2 73%

BTTS*

Yes 53%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 51%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 61%

Full Time

127%
X24%
249%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT25%75%49%51%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT61%39%84%16%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Halmstad38%62%71%29%
Sirius22%78%54%46%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Halmstad90%10%97%3%
Sirius79%21%93%7%

1st Half

120%
X40%
240%

1st Score

135%
X7%
258%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

31%

X-2

16%

1-1

15%

X-X

14%

X-1

9%

2-X

5%

1-X

4%

1-2

3%

2-1

3%

Correct Score

1-1

11.7%

0-1

11.1%

1-2

9.4%

0-2

8.0%

1-0

7.4%

0-0

6.6%

2-1

6.6%

2-2

5.1%

1-3

5.0%

0-3

4.7%

2-0

4.0%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Elfsborg – Halmstad prediction & betting tips (Oct 12, 2026).

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