Kalmar vs Mjällby 0-3 Score & Prediction Review
Allsvenskan - Season 2024 (Round 27)
Kalmar0–3
MjällbyOn these chances Kalmar would usually take 0.7 points and Mjällby 2.1; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Mjällby.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Kalmar vs Mjällby stats: how the match was played
Allsvenskan
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Mjällby had more than twice the shots on target
Kalmar
Mjällby
2
Shots on target
7
0
Big chances
2
3
Corners
2
1
Yellow cards
1
1
Red cards
0
45%
Possession
55%
Kalmar vs Mjällby — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Allsvenskan
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Mjällby to win
CorrectOur track record
In 3,587 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 46.8% of the time (bookmakers said 46.8%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
WrongOur track record
In 5,635 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.9% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
CorrectThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Under 2.5 goals.
Our track record
In 802 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 47.3% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 55–60%.
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 2,352 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.4% of the time (bookmakers said 62.9%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
WrongOur track record
In 6,636 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).
Our model’s pick
Kalmar 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,427 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.9% of the time (bookmakers said 63.9%).
Our model’s pick
Mjällby 0–1 goals
WrongOur track record
In 989 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 60.1% of the time (bookmakers said 59.2%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Kalmar vs Mjällby 0-3 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Kalmar vs Mjällby. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Kalmar0
Mjällby3Winner
X2 69%
BTTS*
Yes 60%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 58%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 55%
Kalmar0Mjällby3Winner
X2 69%
BTTS*
Yes 60%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 58%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 55%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 20% | 80% | 42% | 58% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 55% | 45% | 79% | 21% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31% | 69% | 64% | 36% |
| 23% | 77% | 53% | 47% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 85% | 15% | 95% | 5% |
| 78% | 22% | 92% | 8% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
23%
1-1
19%
X-2
15%
X-X
14%
X-1
11%
1-X
6%
2-X
5%
1-2
4%
2-1
3%
Correct Score
1-1
11.0%
1-2
9.9%
0-1
8.2%
2-1
7.5%
1-0
6.7%
0-2
6.5%
2-2
6.2%
0-0
5.0%
1-3
4.9%
2-0
4.5%
0-3
3.5%
2-3
3.3%
3-1
3.3%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score