Mjällby vs Degerfors Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Allsvenskan - Season 2026 (Round 23)
Mjällby vs Degerfors — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Allsvenskan
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Mjällby to win
Our track record
In 3,141 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.4% of the time (bookmakers said 50.4%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our track record
In 2,025 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.7% of the time (bookmakers said 61.2%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our track record
In 4,789 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.5% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our track record
In 2,029 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.3% of the time (bookmakers said 63.2%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our track record
In 6,242 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 45.0% of the time (bookmakers said 44.3%).
Our model’s pick
Mjällby 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 1,667 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 41.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 43.6% than to our 50–55%.
Our model’s pick
Degerfors 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 2,996 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.2% of the time (bookmakers said 67.9%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Mjällby vs Degerfors — AI Betting Odds & Market Probabilities
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Mjällby vs Degerfors. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Mjällby–
Degerfors–Winner
1X 71%
BTTS**
Yes 61%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 59%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 54%
Mjällby–Degerfors–Winner
1X 71%
BTTS**
Yes 61%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 59%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 54%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 20% | 80% | 41% | 59% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 54% | 46% | 78% | 22% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 21% | 79% | 51% | 49% |
 | 34% | 66% | 66% | 34% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 76% | 24% | 90% | 10% |
| 86% | 14% | 95% | 5% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
27%
X-1
15%
X-X
15%
2-2
15%
X-2
11%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
1-2
3%
2-1
3%
Correct Score
1-1
10.8%
2-1
9.4%
1-0
8.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-0
6.9%
0-1
6.1%
2-2
6.0%
0-0
5.4%
3-1
5.2%
3-0
4.0%
0-2
3.7%
3-2
3.5%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Mjällby vs Degerfors — Recent Form
Degerfors have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 14th in the table. Mjällby have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 12th in the table.
Last 5 matches
DegerforsMjällbyOur prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
MjällbyDegerforsBoth Teams to Score
MjällbyDegerforsOver/Under 2.5 Goals
MjällbyDegerforsOver/Under 3.5 Goals
MjällbyDegerforsFirst Half Result
MjällbyDegerforsCorrect Score
MjällbyDegerfors