Malmö FF vs Kalmar Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Allsvenskan - Season 2026 (Round 23)
Malmö FF vs Kalmar — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Allsvenskan
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Malmö FF to win
Our track record
In 3,138 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.4% of the time (bookmakers said 50.4%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our track record
In 5,128 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.6% of the time (bookmakers said 57.6%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our track record
In 4,781 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.5% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our track record
In 3,647 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.8% of the time (bookmakers said 67.0%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our track record
In 2,076 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 37.1% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 37.4% than to our 40–45%.
Our model’s pick
Malmö FF 2+ goals
Our track record
In 2,512 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.5% of the time (bookmakers said 58.7%).
Our model’s pick
Kalmar 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 2,993 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.2% of the time (bookmakers said 67.9%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Malmö FF vs Kalmar — AI Betting Odds & Market Probabilities
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Malmö FF vs Kalmar. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Malmö FF–
Kalmar–Winner
1X 74%
BTTS**
Yes 58%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 55%
Malmö FF–Kalmar–Winner
1X 74%
BTTS**
Yes 58%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 55%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 21% | 79% | 44% | 56% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 55% | 45% | 79% | 21% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 20% | 80% | 50% | 50% |
 | 37% | 63% | 69% | 31% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 75% | 25% | 90% | 10% |
| 88% | 12% | 96% | 4% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
29%
X-1
16%
2-2
15%
X-X
13%
X-2
10%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
2-1
3%
1-2
2%
Correct Score
1-1
11.2%
2-1
9.7%
1-0
9.4%
2-0
7.6%
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.3%
2-2
5.8%
0-0
5.6%
3-1
5.5%
3-0
4.4%
0-2
3.5%
3-2
3.5%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Malmö FF vs Kalmar — Recent Form
Malmö FF have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 7th in the table. Kalmar have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 13th in the table.
Last 5 matches
Malmö FFKalmarOur prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Malmö FFKalmarBoth Teams to Score
Malmö FFKalmarOver/Under 2.5 Goals
Malmö FFKalmarOver/Under 3.5 Goals
Malmö FFKalmarFirst Half Result
Malmö FFKalmarCorrect Score
Malmö FFKalmar