Leaky
1/10Difaâ El Jadida kept only 1 clean sheet in their last 10 (league 30%).
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Difaâ El Jadida vs Moghreb Tétouan Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Botola Pro - Season 2026/2027 (Round 4)
Clinical
Difaâ El Jadida are scoring more goals than their chances (xG) usually bring
+5goals more than their chances (xG) in their last 8 with xG
80% of teams scoring this many more goals than their chances scored fewer in their next 10 games.
Bookmakers: Difaâ El Jadida 49% to win
Difaâ El Jadida vs Moghreb Tétouan score prediction
Botola Pro
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Evenly matched in front of goal
2.3 goals in total, a little over the Botola Pro average of 2.2.
goals expected
Difaâ El Jadida1.2
Moghreb Tétouan1.1Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
How we measure →Get our AI football prediction and stats for Difaâ El Jadida vs Moghreb Tétouan: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.
Difaâ El Jadida vs Moghreb Tétouan — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Botola Pro
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Moghreb Tétouan to win
Our model 51%Bookmakers 21%
Our track record
In 110 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 27.3% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 30.7% than to our 50–55%.
Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
No, not both
Our model 55%Bookmakers 56%
Our track record
In 6,428 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.4% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
Our model 57%Bookmakers 62%
Our track record
In 5,276 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.6% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our model 77%Bookmakers 81%
Our track record
In 3,649 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 76.0% of the time (bookmakers said 76.3%).
First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our model 44%Bookmakers 47%
Our track record
In 6,662 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).
Difaâ El Jadida Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Difaâ El Jadida 0–1 goals
Our model 79%Bookmakers 60%
Our track record
In 838 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 74.3% of the time (bookmakers said 76.6%).
Moghreb Tétouan Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Moghreb Tétouan 0–1 goals
Our model 56%Bookmakers 80%
Our track record
In 1,598 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.6% of the time (bookmakers said 61.0%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Difaâ El Jadida vs Moghreb Tétouan — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Difaâ El Jadida vs Moghreb Tétouan. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Difaâ El Jadida–
Moghreb Tétouan–Winner
2 51%
BTTS*
No 55%
Correct Score
0-1 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 57%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 67%
Difaâ El Jadida–Moghreb Tétouan–Winner
2 51%
BTTS*
No 55%
Correct Score
0-1 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 57%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 67%
Full Time
122%
X26%
251%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 32% | 68% | 57% | 43% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 67% | 33% | 88% | 12% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 46% | 54% | 79% | 21% |
| 25% | 75% | 56% | 44% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 94% | 6% | 98% | 2% |
| 81% | 19% | 93% | 7% |
1st Half
120%
X44%
236%
1st Score
135%
X10%
254%
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
30%
X-X
19%
X-2
18%
1-1
13%
X-1
9%
2-X
5%
1-X
4%
1-2
2%
2-1
1%
Correct Score
0-1
13.8%
1-1
11.3%
0-0
10.4%
0-2
10.0%
1-2
9.2%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
5.1%
0-3
4.9%
1-3
4.7%
2-2
4.1%
2-0
3.8%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Difaâ El Jadida vs Moghreb Tétouan: the stats that stand out
Botola Pro
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Difaâ El Jadida: leaky and always on the scoresheet
1/10Always on the scoresheet
1/10Difaâ El Jadida failed to score in only 1 of their last 10 (league 30%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Difaâ El Jadida vs Moghreb Tétouan: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
Botola Pro
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Botola Pro gamesBTTS = both teams scoredDifaâ El Jadida games go over 2.5 goals more often than the Botola Pro average (40%).
Over 2.5 goalsleague 40%
Difaâ El Jadida7 of 10
BTTSleague 53%
Difaâ El Jadida8 of 10
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 234 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Difaâ El Jadida vs Moghreb Tétouan form and luck check
Botola Pro
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Botola Pro gamesDifaâ El Jadida: results in line with their chances
- Difaâ El JadidaBookmakers: 49% to win today. · 8 of 10 gamesClinical · +5 goals+1.8
Last 5 matches
Moghreb TétouanD
D
D
Difaâ El JadidaW
L
L
W
D
L
Strength rank: Difaâ El Jadida 13th of 14 · Moghreb Tétouan 12th of 14
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 14 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →Difaâ El Jadida vs Moghreb Tétouan corners, cards and goal times
Botola Pro
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gameDifaâ El Jadida: corners from the last 9, cards from the last 10Goal times close to the Botola Pro average
Difaâ El Jadida
Moghreb Tétouan
4.2
Corners won · league 4.0
–
3.4
Corners conceded · league 4.0
–
2.3
Cards · league 2.5
–
2.6
Opponents' cards · league 2.5
–
47%
Goals before half-time · league 46%
–
24%
Goals after 75' · league 25%
–
62%
Conceded before half-time · league 46%
–
14%
Conceded after 75' · league 25%
–
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Moghreb Tétouan0/3
Difaâ El Jadida2/3
Both Teams to Score
Moghreb Tétouan2/3
Difaâ El Jadida1/3
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Moghreb Tétouan3/3
Difaâ El Jadida1/3
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Moghreb Tétouan3/3
Difaâ El Jadida1/3
First Half Result
Moghreb Tétouan2/3
Difaâ El Jadida0/3
Correct Score
Moghreb Tétouan2/3
Difaâ El Jadida0/3
correct predictionwrong prediction