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Kawkab Marrakech vs Hassania Agadir 2-1 Score & Prediction Review

Botola Pro - Season 2025/2026 (Round 15)

Fair result
Kawkab MarrakechKawkab Marrakech

2–1

Hassania AgadirHassania Agadir
1.7Chances (xG)0.8

On these chances Kawkab Marrakech would usually take 2.0 points and Hassania Agadir 0.8; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Kawkab Marrakech.

Kawkab Marrakech +1.0 pts vs chancesHassania Agadir −0.8 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Kawkab Marrakech vs Hassania Agadir stats: how the match was played

Botola Pro

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Level on shots on target

Kawkab Marrakech

Hassania Agadir

4

Shots on target

4

0

Big chances

0

1

Corners

6

3

Yellow cards

1

30%

Possession

70%

The match between Kawkab Marrakech and Hassania Agadir ended 2-1. Our AI model correctly predicted a Kawkab Marrakech win with 47% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Hassania Agadir – FAR Rabat prediction & betting tips (Oct 12, 2026).

Kawkab Marrakech vs Hassania Agadir — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Botola Pro

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Kawkab Marrakech to win

Correct
Our model 47%Bookmakers 41%

Our track record

In 3,426 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.2% of the time (bookmakers said 50.4%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Wrong
Our model 60%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 5,563 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.9% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 66%Bookmakers 71%

Our track record

In 1,118 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 67.6% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 84%Bookmakers 87%

Our track record

In 1,743 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 80.3% of the time (bookmakers said 81.3%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong
Our model 48%Bookmakers 52%

Our track record

In 4,188 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.7% of the time (bookmakers said 47.3%).

Kawkab Marrakech Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Kawkab Marrakech 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 65%Bookmakers 74%

Our track record

In 3,417 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 64.0% of the time (bookmakers said 64.0%).

Hassania Agadir Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Hassania Agadir 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 82%Bookmakers 77%

Our track record

In 1,492 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 78.6% of the time (bookmakers said 80.6%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Kawkab Marrakech vs Hassania Agadir 2-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Kawkab Marrakech vs Hassania Agadir. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Botola Pro - Morocco
Kawkab MarrakechKawkab Marrakech2
Hassania AgadirHassania Agadir1

Winner

1X 78%

BTTS*

No 59%

Correct Score

1-0 17%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 66%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 74%

Full Time

147%
X31%
222%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT39%61%66%34%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT74%26%92%8%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Kawkab Marrakech29%71%65%35%
Hassania Agadir48%52%82%18%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Kawkab Marrakech87%13%96%4%
Hassania Agadir95%5%99%1%

1st Half

133%
X48%
220%

1st Score

154%
X13%
232%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

27%

X-X

22%

X-1

18%

2-2

11%

X-2

9%

1-X

5%

2-X

4%

2-1

2%

1-2

1%

Correct Score

1-0

16.5%

0-0

13.4%

1-1

13.3%

2-0

9.6%

0-1

9.5%

2-1

8.4%

1-2

5.0%

3-0

4.1%

0-2

3.5%

2-2

3.3%

3-1

3.3%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Hassania Agadir – FAR Rabat prediction & betting tips (Oct 12, 2026).

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