Slow starters
2/10Holstein Kiel scored first in only 2 of their last 10 (league 48%).
- Home
- SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Holstein Kiel
SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Holstein Kiel Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
2. Bundesliga - Season 2026/2027 (Round 10)
Unlucky
Holstein Kiel are taking fewer points than their chances usually bring
−7points fewer than their chances usually bring in their last 10
83% of teams this far behind their chances got more points in their next 10 games.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Holstein Kiel score prediction
2. Bundesliga
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Evenly matched in front of goal
2.8 goals in total, a little under the 2. Bundesliga average of 3.0.
goals expected
SpVgg Greuther Fürth1.6Holstein Kiel1.3Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
How we measure →The match SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Holstein Kiel will be played on Sunday, November 1 as part of the 2026/2027 season. This fixture will be played in the Round 10 of the 2. Bundesliga, played in Germany. On this page, you’ll find our detailed football prediction for SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Holstein Kiel, including full-time result (1X2) probabilities, draw chances, and additional betting insights. Our predictions are generated using data-driven models that analyze team form, recent performances, and historical trends to deliver reliable match forecasts.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Holstein Kiel — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Holstein Kiel. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth–
Holstein Kiel–Winner
1X 65%
BTTS*
Yes 60%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 57%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 56%
SpVgg Greuther Fürth–Holstein Kiel–Winner
1X 65%
BTTS*
Yes 60%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 57%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 56%
Full Time
141%
X25%
235%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 21% | 79% | 43% | 57% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 56% | 44% | 80% | 20% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25% | 75% | 57% | 43% |
| 29% | 71% | 61% | 39% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 81% | 19% | 93% | 7% |
| 84% | 16% | 94% | 6% |
1st Half
133%
X39%
229%
1st Score
150%
X5%
244%
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
23%
2-2
20%
X-X
14%
X-1
12%
X-2
12%
1-X
6%
2-X
6%
1-2
3%
2-1
3%
Correct Score
1-1
11.4%
2-1
8.7%
1-2
8.2%
1-0
8.0%
0-1
7.2%
2-2
6.2%
2-0
6.1%
0-0
5.4%
0-2
5.0%
3-1
4.4%
1-3
3.8%
3-2
3.3%
3-0
3.2%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Holstein Kiel: the stats that stand out
2. Bundesliga
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Holstein Kiel: slow starters and shot-shy
2/10Shot-shy
4/10Holstein Kiel failed to score in 4 of their last 10 (league 22%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Holstein Kiel: attack vs defence
2. Bundesliga
Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
other 2. Bundesliga teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- SpVgg Greuther Fürth: good attack, good defence (1.77 xG, 1.57 xGA a game)
- Holstein Kiel: weak attack, good defence (1.26 xG, 1.50 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Holstein Kiel form and luck check
2. Bundesliga
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 2. Bundesliga gamesHolstein Kiel are taking fewer points than their chances usually bring
- SpVgg Greuther Fürth−2.0
- Holstein KielWasteful · −3 goals−6.9
Last 5 matches
SpVgg Greuther FürthW
L
D
D
L
Holstein KielD
L
D
L
D
W
D
L
Strength rank: SpVgg Greuther Fürth 17th of 18 · Holstein Kiel 12th of 18
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 18 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Holstein Kiel: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
2. Bundesliga
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 2. Bundesliga gamesBTTS = both teams scoredBoth teams score in SpVgg Greuther Fürth games more often than the 2. Bundesliga average (60%), in Holstein Kiel games less often.
Over 2.5 goalsleague 57%
SpVgg Greuther Fürth5 of 10
Holstein Kiel5 of 10
BTTSleague 60%
SpVgg Greuther Fürth7 of 10
Holstein Kiel6 of 10
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 297 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Holstein Kiel corners, cards and goal times
2. Bundesliga
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gameHolstein Kiel score late
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Holstein Kiel
6.8
Corners won · league 5.2
6.3
5.1
Corners conceded · league 5.2
4.8
1.3
Cards · league 2.2
3.0
2.2
Opponents' cards · league 2.2
2.7
50%
Goals before half-time · league 47%
44%
19%
Goals after 75' · league 23%
33%
40%
Conceded before half-time · league 47%
50%
20%
Conceded after 75' · league 23%
25%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
SpVgg Greuther Fürth3/5
Holstein Kiel1/5
Both Teams to Score
SpVgg Greuther Fürth3/5
Holstein Kiel2/5
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
SpVgg Greuther Fürth1/5
Holstein Kiel1/5
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
SpVgg Greuther Fürth5/5
Holstein Kiel4/5
First Half Result
SpVgg Greuther Fürth0/5
Holstein Kiel2/5
Correct Score
SpVgg Greuther Fürth1/5
Holstein Kiel1/5
correct predictionwrong prediction