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  4. Darmstadt 98 vs Holstein Kiel

Darmstadt 98 vs Holstein Kiel 2-0 Score & Prediction Review

2. Bundesliga - Season 2025/2026 (Round 25)

Fair result
Darmstadt 98Darmstadt 98

2–0

Holstein KielHolstein Kiel
1.4Chances (xG)0.7

On these chances Darmstadt 98 would usually take 1.8 points and Holstein Kiel 0.9; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Darmstadt 98.

Darmstadt 98 +1.2 pts vs chancesHolstein Kiel −0.9 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Darmstadt 98 vs Holstein Kiel stats: how the match was played

2. Bundesliga

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Darmstadt 98 had more than twice the shots on target

Darmstadt 98

Holstein Kiel

2

Shots on target

1

3

Big chances

2

1

Corners

5

4

Yellow cards

1

0

Red cards

1

68%

Possession

32%

The match between Darmstadt 98 and Holstein Kiel ended 2-0. Our AI model correctly predicted a Darmstadt 98 win with 57% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Holstein Kiel – Dynamo Dresden prediction & betting tips (Oct 25, 2026).

Darmstadt 98 vs Holstein Kiel — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · 2. Bundesliga

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Darmstadt 98 to win

Correct
Our model 57%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 1,799 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.3% of the time (bookmakers said 61.3%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong
Our model 52%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 6,458 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 55%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 5,150 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.1% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 68%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 3,948 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.3% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).

First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Darmstadt 98 ahead at half-time

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Draw at half-time.

Our model 43%Bookmakers 39%

Our track record

In 2,219 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.8% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 37.3% than to our 40–45%.

Darmstadt 98 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Darmstadt 98 2+ goals

Correct
Our model 54%Bookmakers 52%

Our track record

In 2,799 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.4% of the time (bookmakers said 58.7%).

Holstein Kiel Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Holstein Kiel 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 76%Bookmakers 68%

Our track record

In 2,578 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 74.8% of the time (bookmakers said 76.4%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Darmstadt 98 vs Holstein Kiel 2-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Darmstadt 98 vs Holstein Kiel. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
2. Bundesliga - Germany
Darmstadt 98Darmstadt 982
Holstein KielHolstein Kiel0

Winner

1 57%

BTTS*

Yes 52%

Correct Score

1-0 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 55%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 58%

Full Time

157%
X23%
220%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT23%77%45%55%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT58%42%80%20%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Darmstadt 9817%83%46%54%
Holstein Kiel44%56%76%24%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Darmstadt 9872%28%88%12%
Holstein Kiel92%8%98%2%

1st Half

143%
X37%
220%

1st Score

160%
X6%
234%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

37%

X-1

17%

X-X

13%

2-2

11%

X-2

7%

1-X

5%

2-X

5%

2-1

4%

1-2

2%

Correct Score

1-0

11.0%

1-1

10.6%

2-1

10.1%

2-0

9.6%

0-0

6.1%

3-0

5.9%

3-1

5.8%

0-1

5.4%

1-2

5.2%

2-2

5.0%

3-2

3.2%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Holstein Kiel – Dynamo Dresden prediction & betting tips (Oct 25, 2026).

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