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Paderborn vs Eintracht Braunschweig

Paderborn vs Eintracht Braunschweig 1-1 Score & Prediction Review

2. Bundesliga - Season 2025/2026 (Round 25)

Robbed

Paderborn drew despite more chances

Paderborn

1–1

Eintracht Braunschweig

1.9Chances (xG)0.6

On these chances Paderborn would usually take 2.3 points and Eintracht Braunschweig 0.5; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: Paderborn.

Paderborn −1.3 pts vs chancesEintracht Braunschweig +0.5 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Paderborn vs Eintracht Braunschweig stats: how the match was played

2. Bundesliga

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Paderborn had clearly more shots on target

Paderborn

Eintracht Braunschweig

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

Red cards

67%

Possession

33%

The match between Paderborn and Eintracht Braunschweig ended 1-1. Our AI model predicted a Paderborn win at 59% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Eintracht Braunschweig – Hannover 96 prediction & betting tips (Oct 25, 2026).

Paderborn vs Eintracht Braunschweig — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · 2. Bundesliga

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Paderborn to win

Wrong

Our model 59%Bookmakers 61%

Our track record

In 1,797 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.3% of the time (bookmakers said 61.3%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct

Our model 58%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 5,694 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.7% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Wrong

Our model 62%Bookmakers 59%

Our track record

In 3,080 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.3% of the time (bookmakers said 62.6%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

Our model 61%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 2,380 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.7% of the time (bookmakers said 62.8%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Paderborn ahead at half-time

Wrong

Our model 42%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 6,652 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).

Paderborn Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Paderborn 2+ goals

Wrong

Our model 59%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 3,465 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.6% of the time (bookmakers said 61.1%).

Eintracht Braunschweig Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Eintracht Braunschweig 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 73%Bookmakers 79%

Our track record

In 3,353 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.7% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Paderborn vs Eintracht Braunschweig 1-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Paderborn vs Eintracht Braunschweig. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

2. Bundesliga - Germany

Paderborn1

Eintracht Braunschweig1

Winner

1 59%

BTTS*

Yes 58%

Correct Score

2-1 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 62%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 51%

· FT

2. Bundesliga - Germany

Paderborn1

Eintracht Braunschweig1

Winner

1 59%

BTTS*

Yes 58%

Correct Score

2-1 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 62%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 51%

Full Time

159%

X22%

220%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	18%	82%	38%	62%	51%	49%	75%	25%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	18%	82%	38%	62%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	51%	49%	75%	25%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	15%	85%	41%	59%	67%	33%	85%	15%
	42%	58%	73%	27%	91%	9%	97%	3%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	15%	85%	41%	59%
	42%	58%	73%	27%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	67%	33%	85%	15%
	91%	9%	97%	3%

1st Half

142%

X37%

221%

1st Score

161%

X4%

235%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

36%

X-1

17%

X-X

13%

2-2

11%

X-2

1-X

2-X

2-1

1-2

Correct Score

2-1

10.2%

1-1

9.7%

1-0

8.8%

2-0

8.7%

3-1

6.7%

3-0

5.9%

2-2

5.7%

1-2

5.4%

0-1

4.5%

0-0

4.3%

3-2

3.9%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Eintracht Braunschweig – Hannover 96 prediction & betting tips (Oct 25, 2026).