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Hannover 96 vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth

Hannover 96 vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1-2 Score & Prediction Review

2. Bundesliga - Season 2025/2026 (Round 25)

Smash-and-grab

SpVgg Greuther Fürth won with fewer chances than Hannover 96

Hannover 96

1–2

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

2.4Chances (xG)1.4

On these chances Hannover 96 would usually take 2.0 points and SpVgg Greuther Fürth 0.8; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Hannover 96.

Hannover 96 −2.0 pts vs chancesSpVgg Greuther Fürth +2.2 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Hannover 96 vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth stats: how the match was played

2. Bundesliga

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Level on shots on target

Hannover 96

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

61%

Possession

39%

The match between Hannover 96 and SpVgg Greuther Fürth ended 1-2. Our AI model predicted a Hannover 96 win at 60% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: SpVgg Greuther Fürth – Eintracht Braunschweig prediction & betting tips (Oct 17, 2026).

Hannover 96 vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · 2. Bundesliga

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Hannover 96 to win

Wrong

Our model 60%Bookmakers 73%

Our track record

In 1,048 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 67.0% of the time (bookmakers said 66.5%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct

Our model 54%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 6,407 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct

Our model 57%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 5,254 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.5% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

Our model 65%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 2,343 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.3% of the time (bookmakers said 62.9%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Hannover 96 ahead at half-time

Wrong

Our model 45%Bookmakers 53%

Our track record

In 6,623 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).

Hannover 96 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Hannover 96 2+ goals

Wrong

Our model 58%Bookmakers 70%

Our track record

In 3,424 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.7% of the time (bookmakers said 61.1%).

SpVgg Greuther Fürth Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

SpVgg Greuther Fürth 0–1 goals

Wrong

Our model 77%Bookmakers 79%

Our track record

In 2,567 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 75.1% of the time (bookmakers said 76.5%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Hannover 96 vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1-2 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Hannover 96 vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

2. Bundesliga - Germany

Hannover 961

SpVgg Greuther Fürth2

Winner

1 60%

BTTS*

Yes 54%

Correct Score

1-0 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 57%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 55%

· FT

2. Bundesliga - Germany

Hannover 961

SpVgg Greuther Fürth2

Winner

1 60%

BTTS*

Yes 54%

Correct Score

1-0 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 57%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 55%

Full Time

160%

X21%

218%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	20%	80%	43%	57%	55%	45%	78%	22%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	20%	80%	43%	57%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	55%	45%	78%	22%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	15%	85%	42%	58%	69%	31%	86%	14%
	45%	55%	77%	23%	93%	7%	98%	2%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	15%	85%	42%	58%
	45%	55%	77%	23%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	69%	31%	86%	14%
	93%	7%	98%	2%

1st Half

145%

X37%

218%

1st Score

167%

X5%

228%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

41%

X-1

18%

X-X

12%

2-2

X-2

1-X

2-X

2-1

1-2

Correct Score

1-0

10.3%

2-1

10.3%

1-1

10.0%

2-0

9.7%

3-1

6.6%

3-0

6.3%

0-0

5.2%

0-1

5.0%

2-2

5.0%

1-2

4.9%

3-2

3.5%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: SpVgg Greuther Fürth – Eintracht Braunschweig prediction & betting tips (Oct 17, 2026).