2. Leagues
  3. 2. Bundesliga
  4. VfL Wolfsburg vs Darmstadt 98

VfL Wolfsburg vs Darmstadt 98 5-1 Score & Prediction Review

2. Bundesliga - Season 2026/2027 (Round 6)

Fair result
VfL WolfsburgVfL Wolfsburg

5–1

Darmstadt 98Darmstadt 98
2.0Chances (xG)1.1

On these chances VfL Wolfsburg would usually take 1.9 points and Darmstadt 98 0.9; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: VfL Wolfsburg.

VfL Wolfsburg +1.1 pts vs chancesDarmstadt 98 −0.9 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

VfL Wolfsburg vs Darmstadt 98 stats: how the match was played

2. Bundesliga

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

VfL Wolfsburg had more than twice the shots on target

VfL Wolfsburg

Darmstadt 98

6

Shots on target

3

5

Big chances

2

8

Corners

5

3

Yellow cards

2

65%

Possession

35%

The match between VfL Wolfsburg and Darmstadt 98 ended 5-1. Our AI model correctly predicted a VfL Wolfsburg win with 44% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 2.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: VfL Wolfsburg – Osnabrück prediction & betting tips (Oct 31, 2026).

VfL Wolfsburg vs Darmstadt 98 — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · 2. Bundesliga

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

VfL Wolfsburg to win

Correct
Our model 44%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 3,602 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.3% of the time (bookmakers said 47.0%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct
Our model 55%Bookmakers 60%

Our track record

In 6,460 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 52%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 5,151 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.1% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 69%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 3,948 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.3% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).

First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: VfL Wolfsburg ahead at half-time.

Our model 39%Bookmakers 34%

Our track record

In 1,214 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 35.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 35.1% than to our 35–40%.

VfL Wolfsburg Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

VfL Wolfsburg 0–1 goals

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: VfL Wolfsburg 2+ goals.

Our model 56%Bookmakers 30%

Our track record

In 1,014 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 42.8% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 44.9% than to our 55–60%.

Darmstadt 98 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Darmstadt 98 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 68%Bookmakers 72%

Our track record

In 3,278 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.1% of the time (bookmakers said 67.7%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

VfL Wolfsburg vs Darmstadt 98 5-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for VfL Wolfsburg vs Darmstadt 98. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
2. Bundesliga - Germany
VfL WolfsburgVfL Wolfsburg5
Darmstadt 98Darmstadt 981

Winner

1X 71%

BTTS*

Yes 55%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 52%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 59%

Full Time

144%
X26%
229%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT25%75%48%52%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT59%41%82%18%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
VfL Wolfsburg25%75%56%44%
Darmstadt 9835%65%68%32%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
VfL Wolfsburg80%20%93%7%
Darmstadt 9888%12%96%4%

1st Half

133%
X39%
228%

1st Score

150%
X7%
243%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

25%

2-2

20%

X-1

14%

X-X

14%

X-2

11%

1-X

6%

2-X

5%

1-2

3%

2-1

3%

Correct Score

1-1

11.3%

1-0

10.1%

2-1

8.8%

0-1

7.6%

0-0

7.5%

2-0

7.2%

1-2

6.7%

2-2

6.0%

3-1

4.5%

0-2

4.2%

3-0

3.7%

3-2

3.0%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: VfL Wolfsburg – Osnabrück prediction & betting tips (Oct 31, 2026).

Recommended Partners

Live Football Scores