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Dynamo Dresden vs Hertha BSC

Dynamo Dresden vs Hertha BSC 1-2 Score & Prediction Review

2. Bundesliga - Season 2026/2027 (Round 6)

Fair result

Dynamo Dresden

1–2

Hertha BSC

0.8Chances (xG)2.9

On these chances Dynamo Dresden would usually take 0.4 points and Hertha BSC 2.5; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Hertha BSC.

Dynamo Dresden −0.4 pts vs chancesHertha BSC +0.5 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Dynamo Dresden vs Hertha BSC stats: how the match was played

2. Bundesliga

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Hertha BSC had more than twice the shots on target

Dynamo Dresden

Hertha BSC

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

48%

Possession

52%

The match between Dynamo Dresden and Hertha BSC ended 1-2. Our AI model correctly predicted an Hertha BSC win with 45% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 2.5 Goals.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Hertha BSC – DSC Arminia Bielefeld prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).

Dynamo Dresden vs Hertha BSC — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · 2. Bundesliga

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Hertha BSC to win

Correct

Our model 45%Bookmakers 39%

Our track record

In 3,626 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.0% of the time (bookmakers said 46.9%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct

Our model 68%Bookmakers 68%

Our track record

In 406 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.1% of the time (bookmakers said 65.2%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct

Our model 69%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 1,157 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.0% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

Our model 53%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 286 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).

First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Hertha BSC ahead at half-time

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Draw at half-time.

Our model 40%Bookmakers 32%

Our track record

In 2,232 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 37.3% than to our 40–45%.

Dynamo Dresden Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Dynamo Dresden 0–1 goals

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Dynamo Dresden 2+ goals.

Our model 57%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 1,027 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 43.0% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.1% than to our 55–60%.

Hertha BSC Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Hertha BSC 2+ goals

Correct

Our model 53%Bookmakers 52%

Our track record

In 1,014 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.6% of the time (bookmakers said 59.2%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Dynamo Dresden vs Hertha BSC 1-2 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Dynamo Dresden vs Hertha BSC. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

2. Bundesliga - Germany

Dynamo Dresden1

Hertha BSC2

Winner

X2 67%

BTTS*

Yes 68%

Correct Score

1-1 09%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 69%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

over 57%

· FT

2. Bundesliga - Germany

Dynamo Dresden1

Hertha BSC2

Winner

X2 67%

BTTS*

Yes 68%

Correct Score

1-1 09%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 69%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

over 57%

Full Time

133%

X22%

245%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	14%	86%	31%	69%	43%	57%	70%	30%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	14%	86%	31%	69%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	43%	57%	70%	30%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	29%	71%	57%	43%	80%	20%	92%	8%
	21%	79%	47%	53%	72%	28%	88%	12%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	29%	71%	57%	43%
	21%	79%	47%	53%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	80%	20%	92%	8%
	72%	28%	88%	12%

1st Half

127%

X33%

240%

1st Score

142%

X3%

254%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

31%

1-1

17%

X-2

13%

X-X

12%

X-1

10%

2-X

1-X

1-2

2-1

Correct Score

1-1

9.1%

1-2

8.8%

2-2

7.4%

2-1

7.3%

0-1

5.7%

1-3

5.3%

0-2

5.1%

1-0

4.7%

2-3

4.3%

3-1

3.9%

2-0

3.7%

3-2

3.6%

0-3

3.5%

0-0

3.1%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Dynamo Dresden vs Hertha BSC — Recent Form

Hertha BSC have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 1st in the table. Dynamo Dresden have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 17th in the table.

Last 5 matches

Hertha BSC

Dynamo Dresden

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Hertha BSC

3/5

Dynamo Dresden

1/5

Both Teams to Score

Hertha BSC

4/5

Dynamo Dresden

5/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Hertha BSC

4/5

Dynamo Dresden

4/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Hertha BSC

4/5

Dynamo Dresden

3/5

First Half Result

Hertha BSC

0/5

Dynamo Dresden

2/5

Correct Score

Hertha BSC

0/5

Dynamo Dresden

1/5

Last 5 Matchescorrect predictionwrong prediction

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Hertha BSC – DSC Arminia Bielefeld prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).