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VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach

VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach 2-3 Score & Prediction Review

Bundesliga - Season 2026/2027 (Round 7)

Fair result

VfB Stuttgart

2–3

Borussia Mönchengladbach

1.5Chances (xG)1.8

On these chances VfB Stuttgart would usually take 1.2 points and Borussia Mönchengladbach 1.6; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: VfB Stuttgart.

VfB Stuttgart −1.2 pts vs chancesBorussia Mönchengladbach +1.4 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach stats: how the match was played

Bundesliga

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Level on shots on target

VfB Stuttgart

Borussia Mönchengladbach

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

71%

Possession

29%

The match between VfB Stuttgart and Borussia Mönchengladbach ended 2-3. Our AI model predicted a VfB Stuttgart win at 56% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 2.5 Goals.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Bayer 04 Leverkusen – VfB Stuttgart prediction & betting tips (Oct 31, 2026).

VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Bundesliga

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

VfB Stuttgart to win

Wrong

Our model 56%Bookmakers 71%

Our track record

In 1,792 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.3% of the time (bookmakers said 61.2%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct

Our model 56%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 5,699 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.9% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct

Our model 58%Bookmakers 78%

Our track record

In 5,296 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.6% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Over 3.5 goals.

Our model 63%Bookmakers 43%

Our track record

In 258 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 47.0% than to our 60–65%.

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

VfB Stuttgart ahead at half-time

Wrong

Our model 45%Bookmakers 57%

Our track record

In 6,640 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.4% of the time (bookmakers said 44.1%).

VfB Stuttgart Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

VfB Stuttgart 2+ goals

Correct

Our model 55%Bookmakers 79%

Our track record

In 3,471 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.0% of the time (bookmakers said 61.2%).

Borussia Mönchengladbach Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Borussia Mönchengladbach 0–1 goals

Wrong

Our model 73%Bookmakers 70%

Our track record

In 3,368 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.6% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach 2-3 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Bundesliga - Germany

VfB Stuttgart2

Borussia Mönchengladbach3

Winner

1 56%

BTTS*

Yes 55%

Correct Score

1-0 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 58%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 53%

· FT

Bundesliga - Germany

VfB Stuttgart2

Borussia Mönchengladbach3

Winner

1 56%

BTTS*

Yes 55%

Correct Score

1-0 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 58%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 53%

Full Time

156%

X22%

222%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	21%	79%	42%	58%	53%	47%	77%	23%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	21%	79%	42%	58%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	53%	47%	77%	23%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	18%	82%	45%	55%	71%	29%	87%	13%
	43%	57%	73%	27%	90%	10%	97%	3%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	18%	82%	45%	55%
	43%	57%	73%	27%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	71%	29%	87%	13%
	90%	10%	97%	3%

1st Half

145%

X34%

221%

1st Score

159%

X5%

235%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

36%

X-1

16%

2-2

13%

X-X

11%

X-2

1-X

2-1

2-X

1-2

Correct Score

1-0

10.0%

1-1

9.6%

2-1

9.3%

2-0

9.0%

3-1

5.8%

0-0

5.5%

2-2

5.4%

3-0

5.3%

0-1

5.3%

1-2

5.2%

3-2

3.6%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach — Recent Form

VfB Stuttgart have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 15th in the table. Borussia Mönchengladbach have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 18th in the table.

Last 5 matches

VfB Stuttgart

Borussia Mönchengladbach

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Borussia Mönchengladbach

3/5

VfB Stuttgart

1/5

Both Teams to Score

Borussia Mönchengladbach

4/5

VfB Stuttgart

2/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Borussia Mönchengladbach

5/5

VfB Stuttgart

2/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Borussia Mönchengladbach

2/5

VfB Stuttgart

4/5

First Half Result

Borussia Mönchengladbach

1/5

VfB Stuttgart

1/5

Correct Score

Borussia Mönchengladbach

0/5

VfB Stuttgart

0/5

Last 5 Matchescorrect predictionwrong prediction

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Bayer 04 Leverkusen – VfB Stuttgart prediction & betting tips (Oct 31, 2026).