Banker as favourites
5/6RB Leipzig won 5 of 6 as favourites (league 57%).
- Home
- RB Leipzig vs Elversberg
RB Leipzig vs Elversberg Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Bundesliga - Season 2026/2027 (Round 7)
Riding their luck
Elversberg are taking more points than their chances usually bring
+6points more than their chances usually bring in their last 6 with xG
85% of teams this far ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games.
Bookmakers: Elversberg 13% to winRB Leipzig 69%
RB Leipzig vs Elversberg score prediction
Bundesliga
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Goal-fest alert4.0 goals expected
4.0 goals in total: more goals than a typical Bundesliga game (average 3.3).
goals expected
RB Leipzig2.6
Elversberg1.4Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
Goal-fest alert: we expect at least 2.7 goals, clearly more than usual in this league (8.5% above the average). Since July 2025, these games averaged 3.2 goals, and 62% went over 2.5.
Bore draw alert: we expect 2.3 goals or fewer, clearly less than usual (11% below the average). These games averaged 2.2 goals, and 63% stayed under 2.5.
Bookmakers usually see these coming too, so use the alert to know what kind of game to expect, not as a betting edge.
How we measure →Get our AI football prediction and stats for RB Leipzig vs Elversberg: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.
RB Leipzig vs Elversberg — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Bundesliga
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
RB Leipzig to win
Our model 62%Bookmakers 69%
Our track record
In 1,055 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 66.8% of the time (bookmakers said 66.3%).
Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our model 56%Bookmakers 68%
Our track record
In 5,689 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our model 61%Bookmakers 76%
Our track record
In 3,090 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.3% of the time (bookmakers said 62.6%).
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our model 60%Bookmakers 45%
Our track record
In 248 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 47.2% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 47.1% than to our 60–65%.
First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
RB Leipzig ahead at half-time
Our model 48%Bookmakers 53%
Our track record
In 4,247 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 48.1% of the time (bookmakers said 47.2%).
RB Leipzig Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
RB Leipzig 2+ goals
Our model 61%Bookmakers 77%
Our track record
In 3,456 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 64.0% of the time (bookmakers said 64.0%).
Elversberg Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Elversberg 0–1 goals
Our model 77%Bookmakers 66%
Our track record
In 2,579 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 74.8% of the time (bookmakers said 76.4%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
RB Leipzig vs Elversberg — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for RB Leipzig vs Elversberg. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
RB Leipzig–
Elversberg–Winner
1 62%
BTTS*
Yes 56%
Correct Score
1-0 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 61%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 50%
RB Leipzig–Elversberg–Winner
1 62%
BTTS*
Yes 56%
Correct Score
1-0 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 61%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 50%
Full Time
162%
X21%
217%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 19% | 81% | 39% | 61% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 50% | 50% | 73% | 27% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15% | 85% | 39% | 61% |
| 48% | 52% | 77% | 23% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 65% | 35% | 82% | 18% |
| 92% | 8% | 97% | 3% |
1st Half
148%
X34%
218%
1st Score
161%
X5%
234%
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
39%
X-1
17%
X-X
11%
2-2
10%
X-2
7%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
2-1
4%
1-2
2%
Correct Score
1-0
10.0%
2-1
9.7%
2-0
9.2%
1-1
8.6%
3-0
6.5%
3-1
6.1%
2-2
5.3%
0-0
5.1%
1-2
4.2%
0-1
4.2%
3-2
3.4%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
RB Leipzig vs Elversberg: the stats that stand out
Bundesliga
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%RB Leipzig: banker as favourites
5/6Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →RB Leipzig vs Elversberg: attack vs defence
Bundesliga
Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
other Bundesliga teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- RB Leipzig: good attack, weak defence (1.88 xG, 1.74 xGA a game)
- Elversberg: weak attack, weak defence (1.25 xG, 2.26 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →RB Leipzig vs Elversberg form and luck check
Bundesliga
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Bundesliga gamesElversberg are taking more points than their chances usually bring
- RB LeipzigBookmakers: 69% to win today.−1.2
- ElversbergBookmakers: 13% to win today. · 6 of 10 gamesClinical · +4 goals+6.0
Last 5 matches
ElversbergW
L
D
L
W
RB LeipzigL
W
L
W
L
W
D
L
Strength rank: RB Leipzig 4th of 18 · Elversberg 13th of 18
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 18 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →RB Leipzig vs Elversberg: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
Bundesliga
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averageup to 10 recent Bundesliga gamesBTTS = both teams scoredRB Leipzig and Elversberg games both go over 2.5 goals more often than the Bundesliga average (65%).
Over 2.5 goalsleague 65%
RB Leipzig9 of 10
Elversberg4 of 6
BTTSleague 62%
RB Leipzig6 of 10
Elversberg4 of 6
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 298 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →RB Leipzig vs Elversberg corners, cards and goal times
Bundesliga
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gameElversberg: last 6 with these statsGoal times close to the Bundesliga average
RB Leipzig
Elversberg
5.1
Corners won · league 5.0
3.7
5.8
Corners conceded · league 5.0
8.0
1.3
Cards · league 1.9
2.2
1.1
Opponents' cards · league 1.9
1.8
48%
Goals before half-time · league 43%
50%
22%
Goals after 75' · league 26%
25%
43%
Conceded before half-time · league 43%
36%
24%
Conceded after 75' · league 26%
45%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
RB Leipzig4/5
Elversberg3/5
Both Teams to Score
RB Leipzig2/5
Elversberg3/5
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
RB Leipzig4/5
Elversberg3/5
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
RB Leipzig2/5
Elversberg3/5
First Half Result
RB Leipzig4/5
Elversberg2/5
Correct Score
RB Leipzig0/5
Elversberg1/5
correct predictionwrong prediction