Always chasing
8/10Werder Bremen conceded first in 8 of their last 10 (league 48%).
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VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Bundesliga - Season 2026/2027 (Round 9)
Goal-fest alert
More goals than usual expected in VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen
3.7goals expected · Bundesliga average 3.3
Since July 2025, games with an alert like this averaged 3.2 goals, and 62% went over 2.5.
Bookmakers: over 2.5 goals 73%
VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen score prediction
Bundesliga
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Goal-fest alert3.7 goals expected
3.7 goals in total: more goals than a typical Bundesliga game (average 3.3).
goals expected
VfB Stuttgart2.4Werder Bremen1.3Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
Goal-fest alert: we expect at least 2.7 goals, clearly more than usual in this league (8.5% above the average). Since July 2025, these games averaged 3.2 goals, and 62% went over 2.5.
Bore draw alert: we expect 2.3 goals or fewer, clearly less than usual (11% below the average). These games averaged 2.2 goals, and 63% stayed under 2.5.
Bookmakers usually see these coming too, so use the alert to know what kind of game to expect, not as a betting edge.
How we measure →Get our AI football prediction and stats for VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.
VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Bundesliga
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
VfB Stuttgart to win
Our model 56%Bookmakers 64%
Our track record
In 1,805 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.4% of the time (bookmakers said 61.2%).
Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our model 60%Bookmakers 66%
Our track record
In 2,480 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.7% of the time (bookmakers said 61.7%).
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our model 62%Bookmakers 73%
Our track record
In 3,105 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.5% of the time (bookmakers said 62.7%).
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our model 60%Bookmakers 47%
Our track record
In 261 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.1% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.1% than to our 55–60%.
First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
VfB Stuttgart ahead at half-time
Our model 47%Bookmakers 50%
Our track record
In 4,283 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 48.3% of the time (bookmakers said 47.2%).
VfB Stuttgart Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
VfB Stuttgart 2+ goals
Our model 57%Bookmakers 72%
Our track record
In 3,469 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.8% of the time (bookmakers said 61.2%).
Werder Bremen Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Werder Bremen 0–1 goals
Our model 71%Bookmakers 63%
Our track record
In 3,368 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.6% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
VfB Stuttgart–
Werder Bremen–Winner
1 56%
BTTS*
Yes 60%
Correct Score
2-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 62%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 50%
VfB Stuttgart–Werder Bremen–Winner
1 56%
BTTS*
Yes 60%
Correct Score
2-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 62%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 50%
Full Time
156%
X21%
223%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 18% | 82% | 38% | 62% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 50% | 50% | 74% | 26% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17% | 83% | 43% | 57% |
| 40% | 60% | 70% | 30% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 69% | 31% | 86% | 14% |
| 89% | 11% | 97% | 3% |
1st Half
147%
X32%
220%
1st Score
164%
X4%
232%
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
40%
X-1
16%
X-X
11%
2-2
11%
X-2
7%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
2-1
4%
1-2
2%
Correct Score
2-1
9.8%
1-1
9.5%
1-0
8.5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.2%
2-2
5.9%
1-2
5.8%
3-0
5.2%
0-1
5.1%
0-0
4.4%
3-2
4.3%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen: the stats that stand out
Bundesliga
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Werder Bremen: always chasing and leaky
8/10Leaky
0/10Werder Bremen kept no clean sheet in their last 10 (league 21%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen: attack vs defence
Bundesliga
Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
other Bundesliga teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- VfB Stuttgart: good attack, weak defence (1.98 xG, 1.96 xGA a game)
- Werder Bremen: good attack, weak defence (1.69 xG, 1.70 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen form and luck check
Bundesliga
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Bundesliga gamesBoth results in line with their chances
- VfB StuttgartBookmakers: 64% to win today.Wasteful · −4 goals−3.8
- Werder BremenBookmakers: 17% to win today.−0.2
Last 5 matches
Werder BremenW
D
D
W
D
VfB StuttgartL
L
W
L
L
W
D
L
Strength rank: VfB Stuttgart 5th of 18 · Werder Bremen 12th of 18
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 18 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
Bundesliga
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Bundesliga gamesBTTS = both teams scoredBoth teams score in VfB Stuttgart and Werder Bremen games more often than the Bundesliga average (63%).
Over 2.5 goalsleague 66%
VfB Stuttgart7 of 10
Werder Bremen7 of 10
BTTSleague 63%
VfB Stuttgart7 of 10
Werder Bremen8 of 10
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 297 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen corners, cards and goal times
Bundesliga
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per game- Corners won: league 5.0
- Cards: league 1.9
- Goals before half-time: league 43%
- Goals after 75': league 26%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Werder Bremen1/5
VfB Stuttgart1/5
Both Teams to Score
Werder Bremen4/5
VfB Stuttgart2/5
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Werder Bremen4/5
VfB Stuttgart2/5
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Werder Bremen1/5
VfB Stuttgart4/5
First Half Result
Werder Bremen0/5
VfB Stuttgart1/5
Correct Score
Werder Bremen1/5
VfB Stuttgart0/5
correct predictionwrong prediction