Shot-shy
4/10Hamburger SV failed to score in 4 of their last 10 (league 21%).
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Werder Bremen vs Hamburger SV Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Bundesliga - Season 2026/2027 (Round 10)
Riding their luck
Hamburger SV are taking more points than their chances usually bring
+6points more than their chances usually bring in their last 10
85% of teams this far ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games.
Bookmakers: Hamburger SV 20% to winWerder Bremen 58%
Werder Bremen vs Hamburger SV score prediction
Bundesliga
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Werder Bremen expected to create clearly more
3.1 goals in total, a little under the Bundesliga average of 3.3.
goals expected
Werder Bremen1.9Hamburger SV1.2Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
How we measure →Get our AI football prediction and stats for Werder Bremen vs Hamburger SV: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.
Werder Bremen vs Hamburger SV — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Bundesliga
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Werder Bremen to win
Our model 53%Bookmakers 58%
Our track record
In 2,471 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.9% of the time (bookmakers said 55.3%).
Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our model 62%Bookmakers 60%
Our track record
In 2,493 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.0% of the time (bookmakers said 61.8%).
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our model 63%Bookmakers 63%
Our track record
In 3,107 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.8% of the time (bookmakers said 62.8%).
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our model 60%Bookmakers 59%
Our track record
In 946 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.6% of the time (bookmakers said 59.7%).
First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Werder Bremen ahead at half-time
Our model 40%Bookmakers 43%
Our track record
In 1,941 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 41.0% of the time (bookmakers said 41.2%).
Werder Bremen Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Werder Bremen 2+ goals
Our model 56%Bookmakers 62%
Our track record
In 3,501 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.1% of the time (bookmakers said 61.3%).
Hamburger SV Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Hamburger SV 0–1 goals
Our model 68%Bookmakers 68%
Our track record
In 3,322 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 67.7% of the time (bookmakers said 67.5%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Werder Bremen vs Hamburger SV — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Werder Bremen vs Hamburger SV. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Werder Bremen–
Hamburger SV–Winner
1 53%
BTTS*
Yes 62%
Correct Score
2-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 63%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 50%
Werder Bremen–Hamburger SV–Winner
1 53%
BTTS*
Yes 62%
Correct Score
2-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 63%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 50%
Full Time
153%
X23%
224%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 17% | 83% | 37% | 63% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 50% | 50% | 75% | 25% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17% | 83% | 44% | 56% |
| 37% | 63% | 68% | 32% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 70% | 30% | 87% | 13% |
| 87% | 13% | 96% | 4% |
1st Half
140%
X39%
221%
1st Score
164%
X4%
232%
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
33%
X-1
18%
X-X
14%
2-2
10%
X-2
8%
1-X
6%
2-X
5%
2-1
4%
1-2
2%
Correct Score
2-1
10.1%
1-1
10.1%
1-0
7.8%
2-0
7.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-2
6.3%
3-1
6.1%
3-0
5.1%
0-1
4.7%
3-2
4.1%
0-0
4.0%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Werder Bremen vs Hamburger SV: the stats that stand out
Bundesliga
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Hamburger SV: shot-shy · Werder Bremen: always chasing
4/10Always chasing
7/10Werder Bremen conceded first in 7 of their last 10 (league 48%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Werder Bremen vs Hamburger SV: attack vs defence
Bundesliga
Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
other Bundesliga teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- Werder Bremen: good attack, good defence (1.78 xG, 1.61 xGA a game)
- Hamburger SV: weak attack, weak defence (1.29 xG, 2.00 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Werder Bremen vs Hamburger SV form and luck check
Bundesliga
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Bundesliga gamesHamburger SV are taking more points than their chances usually bring
- Werder BremenBookmakers: 58% to win today.+1.6
- Hamburger SVBookmakers: 20% to win today.+5.5
Last 5 matches
Hamburger SVW
L
L
W
W
Werder BremenL
W
W
D
D
W
D
L
Strength rank: Werder Bremen 10th of 18 · Hamburger SV 17th of 18
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 18 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →Werder Bremen vs Hamburger SV: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
Bundesliga
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Bundesliga gamesBTTS = both teams scoredBoth teams score in Hamburger SV games less often than the Bundesliga average (63%), in Werder Bremen games more often.
Over 2.5 goalsleague 66%
Werder Bremen6 of 10
Hamburger SV6 of 10
BTTSleague 63%
Werder Bremen7 of 10
Hamburger SV5 of 10
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 297 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Werder Bremen vs Hamburger SV corners, cards and goal times
Bundesliga
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per game- Corners won: league 5.0
- Cards: league 1.9
- Goals before half-time: league 42%
- Goals after 75': league 26%
Corners and cards for every league: League stats →
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Werder Bremen1/5
Hamburger SV3/5
Both Teams to Score
Werder Bremen2/5
Hamburger SV3/5
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Werder Bremen3/5
Hamburger SV3/5
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Werder Bremen2/5
Hamburger SV2/5
First Half Result
Werder Bremen2/5
Hamburger SV2/5
Correct Score
Werder Bremen0/5
Hamburger SV0/5
correct predictionwrong prediction