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VfL Wolfsburg vs VfB Stuttgart 0-3 Score & Prediction Review
Bundesliga - Season 2025/2026 (Round 7)
VfL Wolfsburg0–3
VfB StuttgartOn these chances VfL Wolfsburg would usually take 0.8 points and VfB Stuttgart 1.9; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: VfB Stuttgart.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →VfL Wolfsburg vs VfB Stuttgart stats: how the match was played
Bundesliga
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
VfB Stuttgart had more than twice the shots on target
VfL Wolfsburg
VfB Stuttgart
3
Shots on target
7
0
Big chances
4
3
Corners
8
1
Yellow cards
1
41%
Possession
59%
VfL Wolfsburg vs VfB Stuttgart — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Bundesliga
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
VfB Stuttgart to win
CorrectOur track record
In 3,602 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.3% of the time (bookmakers said 47.0%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
WrongOur track record
In 5,688 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 5,306 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 2,383 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.7% of the time (bookmakers said 62.8%).
Our model’s pick
VfB Stuttgart ahead at half-time
CorrectThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Draw at half-time.
Our track record
In 2,220 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.8% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 37.3% than to our 40–45%.
Our model’s pick
VfL Wolfsburg 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,456 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 64.0% of the time (bookmakers said 64.0%).
Our model’s pick
VfB Stuttgart 0–1 goals
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: VfB Stuttgart 2+ goals.
Our track record
In 844 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 41.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 42.6% than to our 50–55%.
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
VfL Wolfsburg vs VfB Stuttgart 0-3 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for VfL Wolfsburg vs VfB Stuttgart. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
VfL Wolfsburg0
VfB Stuttgart3Winner
X2 69%
BTTS*
Yes 58%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 57%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 54%
VfL Wolfsburg0VfB Stuttgart3Winner
X2 69%
BTTS*
Yes 58%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 57%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 54%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 21% | 79% | 43% | 57% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 54% | 46% | 78% | 22% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 33% | 67% | 65% | 35% |
| 24% | 76% | 53% | 47% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 86% | 14% | 95% | 5% |
| 77% | 23% | 90% | 10% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
34%
1-1
15%
X-2
14%
X-X
11%
X-1
9%
2-X
6%
1-X
5%
1-2
4%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
1-1
10.4%
1-2
8.8%
0-1
8.2%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
6.8%
0-2
6.4%
2-2
6.1%
0-0
5.8%
1-3
5.0%
2-0
4.7%
2-3
3.5%
0-3
3.4%
3-1
3.2%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score