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Borussia Mönchengladbach vs FC Augsburg 4-0 Score & Prediction Review
Bundesliga - Season 2025/2026 (Round 16)
Borussia Mönchengladbach4–0
FC AugsburgOn these chances Borussia Mönchengladbach would usually take 1.9 points and FC Augsburg 0.9; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Borussia Mönchengladbach.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Borussia Mönchengladbach vs FC Augsburg stats: how the match was played
Bundesliga
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Borussia Mönchengladbach had more than twice the shots on target
Borussia Mönchengladbach
FC Augsburg
7
Shots on target
2
6
Big chances
2
2
Corners
2
0
Yellow cards
1
52%
Possession
48%
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs FC Augsburg — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Bundesliga
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Borussia Mönchengladbach to win
CorrectOur track record
In 3,602 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.3% of the time (bookmakers said 47.0%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
WrongOur track record
In 6,459 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 5,151 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.1% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
WrongOur track record
In 4,553 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.2% of the time (bookmakers said 71.5%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
WrongOur track record
In 1,996 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 40.2% of the time (bookmakers said 41.2%).
Our model’s pick
Borussia Mönchengladbach 0–1 goals
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Borussia Mönchengladbach 2+ goals.
Our track record
In 1,014 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 42.8% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 44.9% than to our 55–60%.
Our model’s pick
FC Augsburg 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,277 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.1% of the time (bookmakers said 67.7%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs FC Augsburg 4-0 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Borussia Mönchengladbach vs FC Augsburg. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Borussia Mönchengladbach4
FC Augsburg0Winner
1X 69%
BTTS*
Yes 55%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 61%
Borussia Mönchengladbach4FC Augsburg0Winner
1X 69%
BTTS*
Yes 55%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 61%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 25% | 75% | 49% | 51% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 61% | 39% | 84% | 16% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26% | 74% | 58% | 42% |
| 33% | 67% | 67% | 33% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 82% | 18% | 94% | 6% |
| 88% | 12% | 96% | 4% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
26%
2-2
17%
X-X
14%
X-1
13%
X-2
11%
1-X
6%
2-X
6%
1-2
3%
2-1
3%
Correct Score
1-1
12.0%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.9%
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-0
6.8%
0-0
6.8%
2-2
5.9%
0-2
5.0%
3-1
4.4%
3-0
3.4%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score