Borussia Dortmund vs FC Augsburg 2-0 Score & Prediction Review
Bundesliga - Season 2025/2026 (Round 26)
Borussia Dortmund2–0
FC AugsburgOn these chances Borussia Dortmund would usually take 2.1 points and FC Augsburg 0.7; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Borussia Dortmund.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Borussia Dortmund vs FC Augsburg stats: how the match was played
Bundesliga
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Borussia Dortmund had clearly more shots on target
Borussia Dortmund
FC Augsburg
5
Shots on target
3
5
Big chances
1
12
Corners
2
0
Yellow cards
0
60%
Possession
40%
Borussia Dortmund vs FC Augsburg — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Bundesliga
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Borussia Dortmund to win
CorrectOur track record
In 1,048 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 66.8% of the time (bookmakers said 66.5%).
Our model’s pick
No, not both
CorrectThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Yes, both score.
Our track record
In 3,090 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.4% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
WrongOur track record
In 5,212 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.6% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,885 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.3% of the time (bookmakers said 66.9%).
Our model’s pick
Borussia Dortmund ahead at half-time
CorrectOur track record
In 4,188 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.7% of the time (bookmakers said 47.3%).
Our model’s pick
Borussia Dortmund 2+ goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,395 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.6% of the time (bookmakers said 61.1%).
Our model’s pick
FC Augsburg 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 1,492 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 78.6% of the time (bookmakers said 80.6%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Borussia Dortmund vs FC Augsburg 2-0 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Borussia Dortmund vs FC Augsburg. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Borussia Dortmund2
FC Augsburg0Winner
1 65%
BTTS*
No 51%
Correct Score
1-0 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 55%
Borussia Dortmund2FC Augsburg0Winner
1 65%
BTTS*
No 51%
Correct Score
1-0 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 55%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 22% | 78% | 44% | 56% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 55% | 45% | 78% | 22% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14% | 86% | 40% | 60% |
| 52% | 48% | 80% | 20% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 67% | 33% | 85% | 15% |
| 94% | 6% | 98% | 2% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
41%
X-1
17%
X-X
11%
2-2
10%
X-2
7%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
2-1
3%
1-2
2%
Correct Score
1-0
11.7%
2-0
11.2%
2-1
9.4%
1-1
8.8%
3-0
7.5%
3-1
6.5%
0-0
5.9%
2-2
4.3%
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.0%
3-2
3.1%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score