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Eintracht Frankfurt vs Heidenheim 1-0 Score & Prediction Review

Bundesliga - Season 2025/2026 (Round 26)

Fair result
Eintracht FrankfurtEintracht Frankfurt

1–0

HeidenheimHeidenheim
1.4Chances (xG)0.4

On these chances Eintracht Frankfurt would usually take 2.2 points and Heidenheim 0.6; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Eintracht Frankfurt.

Eintracht Frankfurt +0.8 pts vs chancesHeidenheim −0.6 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Eintracht Frankfurt vs Heidenheim stats: how the match was played

Bundesliga

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Eintracht Frankfurt had more than twice the shots on target

Eintracht Frankfurt

Heidenheim

4

Shots on target

1

3

Big chances

1

5

Corners

4

2

Yellow cards

2

1

Red cards

0

67%

Possession

33%

The match between Eintracht Frankfurt and Heidenheim ended 1-0. Our AI model correctly predicted a Eintracht Frankfurt win with 52% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Borussia Dortmund – Eintracht Frankfurt prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).

Eintracht Frankfurt vs Heidenheim — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Bundesliga

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Eintracht Frankfurt to win

Correct
Our model 52%Bookmakers 59%

Our track record

In 2,471 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.8% of the time (bookmakers said 55.1%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong
Our model 60%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 2,460 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.6% of the time (bookmakers said 61.7%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 61%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 3,086 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.3% of the time (bookmakers said 62.6%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 62%Bookmakers 59%

Our track record

In 2,382 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.6% of the time (bookmakers said 62.8%).

First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Eintracht Frankfurt ahead at half-time.

Our model 40%Bookmakers 37%

Our track record

In 1,214 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 35.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 35.1% than to our 35–40%.

Eintracht Frankfurt Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Eintracht Frankfurt 2+ goals

Wrong
Our model 54%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 2,799 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.4% of the time (bookmakers said 58.7%).

Heidenheim Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Heidenheim 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 68%Bookmakers 72%

Our track record

In 3,274 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.0% of the time (bookmakers said 67.7%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Eintracht Frankfurt vs Heidenheim 1-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Eintracht Frankfurt vs Heidenheim. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Bundesliga - Germany
Eintracht FrankfurtEintracht Frankfurt1
HeidenheimHeidenheim0

Winner

1 52%

BTTS*

Yes 60%

Correct Score

1-1 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 61%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 52%

Full Time

152%
X23%
225%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT18%82%39%61%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT52%48%77%23%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Eintracht Frankfurt18%82%46%54%
Heidenheim37%63%68%32%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Eintracht Frankfurt72%28%88%12%
Heidenheim88%12%96%4%

1st Half

137%
X40%
223%

1st Score

158%
X5%
238%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

30%

X-1

16%

X-X

14%

2-2

14%

X-2

10%

1-X

6%

2-X

5%

2-1

3%

1-2

2%

Correct Score

1-1

10.4%

2-1

9.9%

1-0

8.4%

2-0

7.3%

1-2

6.5%

2-2

6.3%

3-1

5.9%

0-1

5.3%

3-0

4.7%

0-0

4.5%

3-2

3.8%

0-2

3.2%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Borussia Dortmund – Eintracht Frankfurt prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).

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