FC Augsburg vs FC Bayern München Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Bundesliga - Season 2026/2027 (Round 5)
FC Augsburg vs FC Bayern München — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Bundesliga
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
FC Bayern München to win
Our track record
In 599 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.3% of the time (bookmakers said 71.2%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our track record
In 6,430 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.2% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our track record
In 3,046 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.6% of the time (bookmakers said 62.5%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our track record
In 243 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 45.3% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.2% than to our 55–60%.
Our model’s pick
FC Bayern München ahead at half-time
Our track record
In 1,225 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.0% of the time (bookmakers said 51.8%).
Our model’s pick
FC Augsburg 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 834 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 74.2% of the time (bookmakers said 76.7%).
Our model’s pick
FC Bayern München 2+ goals
Our track record
In 2,663 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.0% of the time (bookmakers said 63.9%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
FC Augsburg vs FC Bayern München — AI Betting Odds & Market Probabilities
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for FC Augsburg vs FC Bayern München. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
FC Augsburg–
FC Bayern München–Winner
2 67%
BTTS**
Yes 54%
Correct Score
0-1 09%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 63%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 53%
FC Augsburg–FC Bayern München–Winner
2 67%
BTTS**
Yes 54%
Correct Score
0-1 09%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 63%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 53%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 18% | 82% | 37% | 63% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 47% | 53% | 69% | 31% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 54% | 46% | 80% | 20% |
 | 13% | 87% | 35% | 65% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 93% | 7% | 98% | 2% |
| 59% | 41% | 77% | 23% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
47%
X-2
14%
X-X
11%
1-1
10%
1-2
5%
X-1
5%
2-X
4%
1-X
3%
2-1
1%
Correct Score
0-1
9.3%
0-2
9.2%
1-2
8.7%
1-1
7.5%
0-3
7.1%
1-3
6.2%
0-0
5.2%
2-2
4.4%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
3.6%
2-3
3.5%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
FC Augsburg vs FC Bayern München — Recent Form
FC Bayern München have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 4 matches and currently sit 2nd in the table. FC Augsburg have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 4 matches and currently sit 4th in the table.
Last 5 matches
FC Bayern MünchenFC AugsburgOur prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
FC AugsburgFC Bayern MünchenBoth Teams to Score
FC AugsburgFC Bayern MünchenOver/Under 2.5 Goals
FC AugsburgFC Bayern MünchenOver/Under 3.5 Goals
FC AugsburgFC Bayern MünchenFirst Half Result
FC AugsburgFC Bayern MünchenCorrect Score
FC AugsburgFC Bayern München