- Home
- FC Augsburg vs FC Bayern München
FC Augsburg vs FC Bayern München 2-2 Score & Prediction Review
Bundesliga - Season 2026/2027 (Round 5)
FC Bayern München drew despite more chances
FC Augsburg2–2
FC Bayern MünchenOn these chances FC Augsburg would usually take 0.5 points and FC Bayern München 2.4; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: FC Bayern München.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →FC Augsburg vs FC Bayern München stats: how the match was played
Bundesliga
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
FC Bayern München had more than twice the shots on target
FC Augsburg
FC Bayern München
5
Shots on target
10
3
Big chances
7
5
Corners
9
3
Yellow cards
0
31%
Possession
69%
FC Augsburg vs FC Bayern München — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Bundesliga
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
FC Bayern München to win
WrongOur track record
In 618 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 70.6% of the time (bookmakers said 70.8%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
CorrectOur track record
In 6,469 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,092 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.3% of the time (bookmakers said 62.6%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Over 3.5 goals.
Our track record
In 257 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.0% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.1% than to our 55–60%.
Our model’s pick
FC Bayern München ahead at half-time
WrongOur track record
In 1,250 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.1% of the time (bookmakers said 51.7%).
Our model’s pick
FC Augsburg 0–1 goals
WrongOur track record
In 390 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 80.0% of the time (bookmakers said 80.4%).
Our model’s pick
FC Bayern München 2+ goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,281 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.1% of the time (bookmakers said 67.7%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
FC Augsburg vs FC Bayern München 2-2 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for FC Augsburg vs FC Bayern München. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
FC Augsburg2
FC Bayern München2Winner
2 68%
BTTS*
Yes 54%
Correct Score
0-2 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 63%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 55%
FC Augsburg2FC Bayern München2Winner
2 68%
BTTS*
Yes 54%
Correct Score
0-2 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 63%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 55%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 18% | 82% | 37% | 63% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 45% | 55% | 67% | 33% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 54% | 46% | 81% | 20% |
| 13% | 87% | 34% | 66% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 93% | 7% | 98% | 2% |
| 58% | 42% | 76% | 24% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
46%
X-2
15%
X-X
10%
1-1
9%
X-1
6%
1-2
5%
2-X
4%
1-X
3%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
0-2
9.6%
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.7%
1-1
7.3%
1-3
6.3%
0-3
6.3%
0-0
5.2%
2-2
4.0%
1-0
3.9%
2-3
3.7%
2-1
3.3%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
FC Augsburg vs FC Bayern München — Recent Form
FC Bayern München have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 1st in the table. FC Augsburg have won 0, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 9th in the table.
Last 5 matches
FC Bayern MünchenFC AugsburgOur prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
FC AugsburgFC Bayern MünchenBoth Teams to Score
FC AugsburgFC Bayern MünchenOver/Under 2.5 Goals
FC AugsburgFC Bayern MünchenOver/Under 3.5 Goals
FC AugsburgFC Bayern MünchenFirst Half Result
FC AugsburgFC Bayern MünchenCorrect Score
FC AugsburgFC Bayern München