FC Köln vs Borussia Mönchengladbach Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Bundesliga - Season 2026/2027 (Round 5)
FC Köln vs Borussia Mönchengladbach — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Bundesliga
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Borussia Mönchengladbach to win
Our track record
In 1,031 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 30.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 30.3% than to our 40–45%.
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our track record
In 5,606 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.0% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our track record
In 5,240 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.5% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our track record
In 2,339 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.2% of the time (bookmakers said 63.0%).
Our model’s pick
Borussia Mönchengladbach ahead at half-time
Our track record
In 1,174 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 35.8% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 35.2% than to our 35–40%.
Our model’s pick
FC Köln 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 359 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 42.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.8% than to our 60–65%.
Our model’s pick
Borussia Mönchengladbach 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 1,580 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.4% of the time (bookmakers said 61.0%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
FC Köln vs Borussia Mönchengladbach — AI Betting Odds & Market Probabilities
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for FC Köln vs Borussia Mönchengladbach. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Winner
X2 66%
BTTS**
Yes 58%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 54%
Winner
X2 66%
BTTS**
Yes 58%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 54%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 22% | 78% | 44% | 56% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 54% | 46% | 78% | 22% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 32% | 68% | 63% | 37% | |
| 26% | 74% | 56% | 44% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 84% | 16% | 94% | 6% | |
| 79% | 21% | 91% | 9% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
29%
1-1
19%
X-2
13%
X-X
12%
X-1
11%
2-X
6%
1-X
4%
1-2
4%
2-1
3%
Correct Score
1-1
10.5%
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.0%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.3%
0-0
6.2%
0-2
6.1%
2-2
6.0%
2-0
5.0%
1-3
4.5%
3-1
3.6%
2-3
3.5%
0-3
3.1%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
FC Köln vs Borussia Mönchengladbach — Recent Form
FC Köln have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 4 matches and currently sit 13th in the table. Borussia Mönchengladbach have won 0, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 4 matches and currently sit 18th in the table.
Last 5 matches
Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Both Teams to Score
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result
Correct Score