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FC Köln vs Borussia Mönchengladbach

FC Köln vs Borussia Mönchengladbach 2-1 Score & Prediction Review

Bundesliga - Season 2026/2027 (Round 5)

Fair result

FC Köln

2–1

Borussia Mönchengladbach

2.0Chances (xG)1.7

On these chances FC Köln would usually take 1.6 points and Borussia Mönchengladbach 1.2; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: FC Köln.

FC Köln +1.4 pts vs chancesBorussia Mönchengladbach −1.2 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

FC Köln vs Borussia Mönchengladbach stats: how the match was played

Bundesliga

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Level on shots on target

FC Köln

Borussia Mönchengladbach

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

48%

Possession

52%

The match between FC Köln and Borussia Mönchengladbach ended 2-1. Our AI model predicted an Borussia Mönchengladbach win at 42% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Borussia Mönchengladbach – Paderborn prediction & betting tips (Oct 31, 2026).

FC Köln vs Borussia Mönchengladbach — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Bundesliga

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Borussia Mönchengladbach to win

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: FC Köln to win.

Our model 42%Bookmakers 27%

Our track record

In 1,069 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 30.6% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 30.3% than to our 40–45%.

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct

Our model 59%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 5,745 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.9% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct

Our model 57%Bookmakers 64%

Our track record

In 5,362 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

Our model 65%Bookmakers 57%

Our track record

In 2,412 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.6% of the time (bookmakers said 62.8%).

First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Borussia Mönchengladbach ahead at half-time

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: FC Köln ahead at half-time.

Our model 38%Bookmakers 25%

Our track record

In 1,224 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 35.8% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 35.1% than to our 35–40%.

FC Köln Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

FC Köln 0–1 goals

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: FC Köln 2+ goals.

Our model 63%Bookmakers 44%

Our track record

In 389 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 43.4% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.9% than to our 60–65%.

Borussia Mönchengladbach Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Borussia Mönchengladbach 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 55%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 1,592 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.8% of the time (bookmakers said 60.9%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

FC Köln vs Borussia Mönchengladbach 2-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for FC Köln vs Borussia Mönchengladbach. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Bundesliga - Germany

FC Köln2

Borussia Mönchengladbach1

Winner

X2 67%

BTTS*

Yes 59%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 57%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 55%

· FT

Bundesliga - Germany

FC Köln2

Borussia Mönchengladbach1

Winner

X2 67%

BTTS*

Yes 59%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 57%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 55%

Full Time

133%

X25%

242%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	22%	78%	43%	57%	55%	45%	79%	21%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	22%	78%	43%	57%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	55%	45%	79%	21%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	32%	68%	63%	37%	85%	15%	95%	5%
	26%	74%	55%	45%	79%	21%	91%	9%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	32%	68%	63%	37%
	26%	74%	55%	45%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	85%	15%	95%	5%
	79%	21%	91%	9%

1st Half

128%

X34%

238%

1st Score

143%

X6%

251%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

28%

1-1

18%

X-2

13%

X-X

12%

X-1

10%

2-X

1-X

1-2

2-1

Correct Score

1-1

10.7%

1-2

8.4%

0-1

8.0%

1-0

7.6%

2-1

7.4%

2-2

6.4%

0-0

6.0%

0-2

6.0%

2-0

4.9%

1-3

4.4%

3-1

3.4%

0-3

3.2%

2-3

3.2%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

FC Köln vs Borussia Mönchengladbach — Recent Form

FC Köln have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 11th in the table. Borussia Mönchengladbach have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 18th in the table.

Last 5 matches

FC Köln

Borussia Mönchengladbach

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Borussia Mönchengladbach

3/5

FC Köln

2/5

Both Teams to Score

Borussia Mönchengladbach

4/5

FC Köln

3/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Borussia Mönchengladbach

5/5

FC Köln

2/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Borussia Mönchengladbach

2/5

FC Köln

5/5

First Half Result

Borussia Mönchengladbach

1/5

FC Köln

2/5

Correct Score

Borussia Mönchengladbach

0/5

FC Köln

1/5

Last 5 Matchescorrect predictionwrong prediction

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Borussia Mönchengladbach – Paderborn prediction & betting tips (Oct 31, 2026).