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SC Freiburg vs Schalke 04

SC Freiburg vs Schalke 04 Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Bundesliga - Season 2026/2027 (Round 5)

Get our AI football prediction and stats for SC Freiburg vs Schalke 04: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.

SC Freiburg vs Schalke 04 — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Bundesliga

For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

SC Freiburg to win

Our model 44%Bookmakers 59%

Our track record

In 3,553 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 46.8% of the time (bookmakers said 46.8%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Our model 59%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 5,606 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.0% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Our model 59%Bookmakers 61%

Our track record

In 5,241 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Our model 63%Bookmakers 61%

Our track record

In 2,339 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.2% of the time (bookmakers said 63.0%).

First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Our model 38%Bookmakers 37%

Our track record

In 1,174 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 35.8% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 35.2% than to our 35–40%.

SC Freiburg Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

SC Freiburg 0–1 goals

Our model 53%Bookmakers 38%

Our track record

In 1,836 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 41.8% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 43.8% than to our 50–55%.

Schalke 04 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Schalke 04 0–1 goals

Our model 63%Bookmakers 72%

Our track record

In 2,663 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.0% of the time (bookmakers said 63.9%).

Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.

SC Freiburg vs Schalke 04 — AI Betting Odds & Market Probabilities

Below are our AI-generated match predictions for SC Freiburg vs Schalke 04. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.

Bundesliga - Germany

SC Freiburg–

Schalke 04–

Winner

1X 69%

BTTS**

Yes 59%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 59%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 53%

Bundesliga - Germany

SC Freiburg–

Schalke 04–

Winner

1X 69%

BTTS**

Yes 59%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 59%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 53%

Full Time

144%

X25%

231%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	20%	80%	41%	59%	53%	47%	78%	22%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	20%	80%	41%	59%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	53%	47%	78%	22%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	23%	77%	53%	47%	77%	23%	91%	9%
	33%	67%	63%	37%	84%	16%	94%	6%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	23%	77%	53%	47%
	33%	67%	63%	37%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	77%	23%	91%	9%
	84%	16%	94%	6%

1st Half

133%

X38%

229%

1st Score

149%

X6%

246%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

25%

2-2

20%

X-X

15%

X-1

13%

X-2

10%

2-X

1-X

1-2

2-1

Correct Score

1-1

11.0%

2-1

8.9%

1-0

7.9%

1-2

7.2%

2-0

6.5%

2-2

6.4%

0-1

6.1%

0-0

5.7%

3-1

4.7%

3-0

3.9%

0-2

3.9%

1-3

3.4%

3-2

3.3%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

SC Freiburg vs Schalke 04 — Recent Form

SC Freiburg have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 4 matches and currently sit 3rd in the table. Schalke 04 have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 4 matches and currently sit 11th in the table.

Last 5 matches

SC Freiburg

Schalke 04

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Schalke 04

1/4

SC Freiburg

2/4

Both Teams to Score

Schalke 04

1/4

SC Freiburg

2/4

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Schalke 04

2/4

SC Freiburg

3/4

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Schalke 04

3/4

SC Freiburg

1/4

First Half Result

Schalke 04

2/4

SC Freiburg

0/4

Correct Score

Schalke 04

0/4

SC Freiburg

0/4

Last 5 Matchescorrect predictionwrong prediction