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Eintracht Frankfurt vs FC Köln 1-0 Score & Prediction Review
Bundesliga - Season 2026/2027 (Round 6)
Eintracht Frankfurt1–0
FC KölnOn these chances Eintracht Frankfurt would usually take 1.9 points and FC Köln 0.9; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Eintracht Frankfurt.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Eintracht Frankfurt vs FC Köln stats: how the match was played
Bundesliga
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Eintracht Frankfurt had more than twice the shots on target
Eintracht Frankfurt
FC Köln
7
Shots on target
3
3
Big chances
2
7
Corners
3
2
Yellow cards
2
56%
Possession
45%
Eintracht Frankfurt vs FC Köln — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Bundesliga
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Eintracht Frankfurt to win
CorrectOur track record
In 3,626 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.3% of the time (bookmakers said 47.0%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
WrongOur track record
In 5,725 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
WrongOur track record
In 5,191 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.1% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Over 3.5 goals.
Our track record
In 127 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 50.4% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 47.4% than to our 65–70%.
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
CorrectThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Eintracht Frankfurt ahead at half-time.
Our track record
In 1,222 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 35.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 35.1% than to our 35–40%.
Our model’s pick
Eintracht Frankfurt 0–1 goals
CorrectThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Eintracht Frankfurt 2+ goals.
Our track record
In 1,026 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 43.0% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.0% than to our 55–60%.
Our model’s pick
FC Köln 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,303 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.0% of the time (bookmakers said 67.7%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Eintracht Frankfurt vs FC Köln 1-0 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Eintracht Frankfurt vs FC Köln. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Eintracht Frankfurt1
FC Köln0Winner
1X 69%
BTTS*
Yes 55%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 56%
Eintracht Frankfurt1FC Köln0Winner
1X 69%
BTTS*
Yes 55%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 56%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 24% | 76% | 46% | 54% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 56% | 44% | 79% | 21% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26% | 74% | 56% | 44% |
| 36% | 64% | 66% | 34% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 80% | 20% | 92% | 8% |
| 85% | 15% | 94% | 6% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
25%
2-2
21%
X-X
14%
X-1
13%
X-2
11%
2-X
6%
1-X
5%
1-2
3%
2-1
3%
Correct Score
1-1
10.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.3%
0-0
7.6%
2-0
7.2%
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-1
4.3%
0-2
3.9%
3-0
3.7%
1-3
3.1%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Eintracht Frankfurt vs FC Köln — Recent Form
Eintracht Frankfurt have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 13th in the table. FC Köln have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 11th in the table.
Last 5 matches
Eintracht FrankfurtFC KölnOur prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Eintracht FrankfurtFC KölnBoth Teams to Score
Eintracht FrankfurtFC KölnOver/Under 2.5 Goals
Eintracht FrankfurtFC KölnOver/Under 3.5 Goals
Eintracht FrankfurtFC KölnFirst Half Result
Eintracht FrankfurtFC KölnCorrect Score
Eintracht FrankfurtFC Köln