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Hamburger SV vs VfB Stuttgart Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Bundesliga - Season 2026/2027 (Round 6)

Get our AI football prediction and stats for Hamburger SV vs VfB Stuttgart: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.

Hamburger SV vs VfB Stuttgart — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Bundesliga

For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

VfB Stuttgart to win

Our model 42%Bookmakers 53%

Our track record

In 3,552 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 46.8% of the time (bookmakers said 46.8%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Our model 63%Bookmakers 68%

Our track record

In 2,413 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.7% of the time (bookmakers said 61.5%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Our model 63%Bookmakers 71%

Our track record

In 3,046 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.6% of the time (bookmakers said 62.5%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Our model 59%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 243 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 45.3% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.2% than to our 55–60%.

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

VfB Stuttgart ahead at half-time

Our model 40%Bookmakers 41%

Our track record

In 2,015 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 40.2% of the time (bookmakers said 41.2%).

Hamburger SV Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Hamburger SV 0–1 goals

Our model 59%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 3,399 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.5% of the time (bookmakers said 61.1%).

VfB Stuttgart Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

VfB Stuttgart 0–1 goals

Our model 52%Bookmakers 37%

Our track record

In 826 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 43.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 42.7% than to our 50–55%.

Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.

Hamburger SV vs VfB Stuttgart — AI Betting Odds & Market Probabilities

Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Hamburger SV vs VfB Stuttgart. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.

Bundesliga - Germany
Hamburger SVHamburger SV–
VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart–

Winner

X2 66%

BTTS**

Yes 63%

Correct Score

1-1 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 63%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

over 52%

Full Time

134%
X23%
242%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT17%83%37%63%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT48%52%74%26%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Hamburger SV30%70%58%42%
VfB Stuttgart24%76%52%48%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Hamburger SV82%18%93%7%
VfB Stuttgart76%24%89%11%

1st Half

127%
X33%
240%

1st Score

141%
X4%
255%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

32%

1-1

18%

X-2

13%

X-X

12%

X-1

8%

2-X

6%

1-X

5%

1-2

4%

2-1

2%

Correct Score

1-1

9.9%

1-2

8.2%

2-1

7.7%

2-2

7.0%

0-1

6.5%

1-0

5.8%

0-2

5.4%

1-3

4.7%

2-0

4.7%

0-0

4.3%

3-1

3.8%

2-3

3.8%

0-3

3.4%

3-2

3.3%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Hamburger SV vs VfB Stuttgart — Recent Form

VfB Stuttgart have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 4 matches and currently sit 15th in the table. Hamburger SV have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 4 matches and currently sit 16th in the table.

Last 5 matches

VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart
L
L
W
L
Hamburger SVHamburger SV
W
L
L
L

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Hamburger SVHamburger SV
4/4
VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart
2/4

Both Teams to Score

Hamburger SVHamburger SV
1/4
VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart
3/4

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Hamburger SVHamburger SV
3/4
VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart
3/4

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Hamburger SVHamburger SV
2/4
VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart
2/4

First Half Result

Hamburger SVHamburger SV
3/4
VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart
3/4

Correct Score

Hamburger SVHamburger SV
0/4
VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart
0/4
W
D
L
Last 5 Matchescorrect predictionwrong prediction

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