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FC Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund

FC Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Bundesliga - Season 2026/2027 (Round 6)

Get our AI football prediction and stats for FC Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.

FC Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Bundesliga

For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Borussia Dortmund to win

Our model 54%Bookmakers 57%

Our track record

In 2,466 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.5% of the time (bookmakers said 54.9%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Our model 56%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 5,606 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.0% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Our model 58%Bookmakers 64%

Our track record

In 5,241 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Our model 65%Bookmakers 57%

Our track record

In 2,339 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.2% of the time (bookmakers said 63.0%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Borussia Dortmund ahead at half-time

Our model 45%Bookmakers 45%

Our track record

In 6,632 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).

FC Union Berlin Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

FC Union Berlin 0–1 goals

Our model 72%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 1,574 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 70.8% of the time (bookmakers said 72.1%).

Borussia Dortmund Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Borussia Dortmund 2+ goals

Our model 54%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 981 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.8% of the time (bookmakers said 59.2%).

Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.

FC Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund — AI Betting Odds & Market Probabilities

Below are our AI-generated match predictions for FC Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.

Bundesliga - Germany

FC Union Berlin–

Borussia Dortmund–

Winner

2 54%

BTTS**

Yes 55%

Correct Score

1-1 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 58%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 55%

Bundesliga - Germany

FC Union Berlin–

Borussia Dortmund–

Winner

2 54%

BTTS**

Yes 55%

Correct Score

1-1 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 58%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 55%

Full Time

123%

X23%

254%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	21%	79%	43%	58%	55%	45%	78%	22%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	21%	79%	43%	58%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	55%	45%	78%	22%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	41%	59%	72%	28%	90%	10%	97%	3%
	19%	81%	46%	54%	72%	28%	88%	12%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	41%	59%	72%	28%
	19%	81%	46%	54%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	90%	10%	97%	3%
	72%	28%	88%	12%

1st Half

122%

X33%

245%

1st Score

137%

X6%

257%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

35%

1-1

14%

X-2

14%

X-X

13%

X-1

2-X

1-X

1-2

2-1

Correct Score

1-1

9.9%

1-2

9.6%

0-1

9.5%

0-2

8.9%

2-1

5.8%

0-0

5.8%

2-2

5.7%

1-3

5.6%

0-3

5.5%

1-0

5.4%

2-3

3.2%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

FC Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund — Recent Form

Borussia Dortmund have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 4 matches and currently sit 1st in the table. FC Union Berlin have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 4 matches and currently sit 17th in the table.

Last 5 matches

Borussia Dortmund

FC Union Berlin

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Borussia Dortmund

3/4

FC Union Berlin

3/4

Both Teams to Score

Borussia Dortmund

1/4

FC Union Berlin

3/4

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Borussia Dortmund

2/4

FC Union Berlin

4/4

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Borussia Dortmund

3/4

FC Union Berlin

0/4

First Half Result

Borussia Dortmund

2/4

FC Union Berlin

3/4

Correct Score

Borussia Dortmund

0/4

FC Union Berlin

0/4

Last 5 Matchescorrect predictionwrong prediction