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FC Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund 0-0 Score & Prediction Review

Bundesliga - Season 2026/2027 (Round 6)

Fair result
FC Union BerlinFC Union Berlin

0–0

Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund
0.8Chances (xG)1.0

On these chances FC Union Berlin would usually take 1.2 points and Borussia Dortmund 1.5; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: Borussia Dortmund.

FC Union Berlin −0.2 pts vs chancesBorussia Dortmund −0.5 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

FC Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund stats: how the match was played

Bundesliga

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Borussia Dortmund had more than twice the shots on target

FC Union Berlin

Borussia Dortmund

0

Shots on target

2

1

Big chances

2

5

Corners

5

3

Yellow cards

3

38%

Possession

63%

The match between FC Union Berlin and Borussia Dortmund ended 0-0. Our AI model predicted an Borussia Dortmund win at 51% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Our model got 1 out of 4 markets right, correctly predicting Over/Under 3.5 Goals — a reminder that football can be unpredictable, but the data continues to sharpen future predictions.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: FC Augsburg – FC Union Berlin prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).

FC Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Bundesliga

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Borussia Dortmund to win

Wrong
Our model 51%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 2,472 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.8% of the time (bookmakers said 55.1%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong
Our model 58%Bookmakers 60%

Our track record

In 5,689 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 58%Bookmakers 64%

Our track record

In 5,307 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 65%Bookmakers 57%

Our track record

In 2,384 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.7% of the time (bookmakers said 62.8%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Borussia Dortmund ahead at half-time

Wrong
Our model 40%Bookmakers 47%

Our track record

In 6,658 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).

FC Union Berlin Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

FC Union Berlin 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 69%Bookmakers 70%

Our track record

In 2,675 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 69.0% of the time (bookmakers said 67.6%).

Borussia Dortmund Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Borussia Dortmund 2+ goals

Wrong
Our model 52%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 1,010 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 60.5% of the time (bookmakers said 59.3%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

FC Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund 0-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for FC Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Bundesliga - Germany
FC Union BerlinFC Union Berlin0
Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund0

Winner

2 51%

BTTS*

Yes 58%

Correct Score

1-1 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 58%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 54%

Full Time

126%
X23%
251%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT20%80%42%58%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT54%46%78%22%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
FC Union Berlin38%62%69%31%
Borussia Dortmund20%80%48%52%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
FC Union Berlin88%12%96%4%
Borussia Dortmund74%26%89%11%

1st Half

125%
X35%
240%

1st Score

141%
X5%
254%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

31%

1-1

16%

X-2

15%

X-X

12%

X-1

9%

2-X

6%

1-X

5%

1-2

4%

2-1

2%

Correct Score

1-1

10.4%

1-2

9.5%

0-1

8.7%

0-2

8.0%

2-1

6.6%

1-0

6.0%

2-2

5.9%

1-3

5.4%

0-0

5.3%

0-3

4.8%

2-0

3.4%

2-3

3.1%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

FC Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund — Recent Form

Borussia Dortmund have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 2nd in the table. FC Union Berlin have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 17th in the table.

Last 5 matches

Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund
D
D
W
W
W
FC Union BerlinFC Union Berlin
D
W
L
L
L

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund
2/5
FC Union BerlinFC Union Berlin
3/5

Both Teams to Score

Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund
1/5
FC Union BerlinFC Union Berlin
2/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund
3/5
FC Union BerlinFC Union Berlin
3/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund
3/5
FC Union BerlinFC Union Berlin
2/5

First Half Result

Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund
1/5
FC Union BerlinFC Union Berlin
2/5

Correct Score

Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund
0/5
FC Union BerlinFC Union Berlin
0/5
W
D
L
Last 5 Matchescorrect predictionwrong prediction
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: FC Augsburg – FC Union Berlin prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).

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