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Young Africans vs Al Ahly 1-1 Score & Prediction Review

CAF Champions League - Season 2025/2026 Group Stage (Group Stage) (Round 4)

Fair result
Young AfricansYoung Africans

1–1

Al AhlyAl Ahly
1.0Chances (xG)0.4

On these chances Young Africans would usually take 1.8 points and Al Ahly 0.8; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: Al Ahly.

Young Africans −0.8 pts vs chancesAl Ahly +0.2 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Young Africans vs Al Ahly stats: how the match was played

CAF Champions League

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Level on shots on target

Young Africans

Al Ahly

2

Shots on target

2

2

Big chances

1

5

Corners

4

2

Yellow cards

1

53%

Possession

47%

The match between Young Africans and Al Ahly ended 1-1. Our AI model predicted a Young Africans win at 44% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.

Young Africans vs Al Ahly — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · CAF Champions League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Young Africans to win

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Al Ahly to win.

Our model 44%Bookmakers 27%

Our track record

In 1,058 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 30.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 30.2% than to our 40–45%.

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Wrong
Our model 52%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 6,460 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 54%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 5,151 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.1% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 74%Bookmakers 81%

Our track record

In 4,554 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.2% of the time (bookmakers said 71.5%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong
Our model 40%Bookmakers 47%

Our track record

In 1,996 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 40.2% of the time (bookmakers said 41.2%).

Young Africans Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Young Africans 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 61%Bookmakers 75%

Our track record

In 3,456 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 64.0% of the time (bookmakers said 64.0%).

Al Ahly Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Al Ahly 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 71%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 3,358 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.6% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Young Africans vs Al Ahly 1-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Young Africans vs Al Ahly. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
CAF Champions League - Africa
Young AfricansYoung Africans1
Al AhlyAl Ahly1

Winner

1X 69%

BTTS*

No 52%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 54%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 64%

Full Time

144%
X25%
231%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT29%71%54%46%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT64%36%86%14%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Young Africans28%72%61%39%
Al Ahly38%62%71%29%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Young Africans82%18%93%7%
Al Ahly90%10%97%3%

1st Half

133%
X40%
228%

1st Score

149%
X8%
242%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

28%

2-2

19%

X-1

17%

X-X

12%

X-2

10%

1-X

5%

2-X

5%

2-1

4%

1-2

1%

Correct Score

1-1

11.9%

1-0

11.4%

0-1

9.5%

0-0

8.3%

2-1

7.9%

2-0

7.2%

1-2

6.9%

0-2

5.5%

3-1

4.4%

2-2

4.3%

3-0

3.9%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

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