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  4. MC Alger vs Saint Eloi Lupopo

MC Alger vs Saint Eloi Lupopo 2-0 Score & Prediction Review

CAF Champions League - Season 2025/2026 Group Stage (Group Stage) (Round 4)

Fair result
MC AlgerMC Alger

2–0

Saint Eloi LupopoSaint Eloi Lupopo
1.5Chances (xG)0.6

On these chances MC Alger would usually take 2.0 points and Saint Eloi Lupopo 0.7; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: MC Alger.

MC Alger +1.0 pts vs chancesSaint Eloi Lupopo −0.7 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

MC Alger vs Saint Eloi Lupopo stats: how the match was played

CAF Champions League

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Level on shots on target

MC Alger

Saint Eloi Lupopo

4

Shots on target

3

3

Big chances

0

6

Corners

3

6

Yellow cards

2

66%

Possession

34%

The match between MC Alger and Saint Eloi Lupopo ended 2-0. Our AI model correctly predicted a MC Alger win with 70% confidence before kick-off. A strong performance overall — our model hit all 4 key markets for this fixture, correctly calling Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Enugu Rangers – MC Alger prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).

MC Alger vs Saint Eloi Lupopo — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · CAF Champions League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

MC Alger to win

Correct
Our model 70%Bookmakers 73%

Our track record

In 602 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 70.4% of the time (bookmakers said 71.0%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Correct
Our model 59%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 5,613 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.0% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 51%Bookmakers 57%

Our track record

In 5,123 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.2% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 71%Bookmakers 79%

Our track record

In 4,517 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.2% of the time (bookmakers said 71.6%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

MC Alger ahead at half-time

Wrong
Our model 49%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 4,209 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.6% of the time (bookmakers said 47.3%).

MC Alger Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

MC Alger 2+ goals

Correct
Our model 57%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 3,424 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.7% of the time (bookmakers said 61.1%).

Saint Eloi Lupopo Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Saint Eloi Lupopo 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 87%Bookmakers 92%

Our track record

In 598 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 85–90% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 85.1% of the time (bookmakers said 85.1%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

MC Alger vs Saint Eloi Lupopo 2-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for MC Alger vs Saint Eloi Lupopo. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
CAF Champions League - Africa
MC AlgerMC Alger2
Saint Eloi LupopoSaint Eloi Lupopo0

Winner

1 70%

BTTS*

No 59%

Correct Score

1-0 16%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 51%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 61%

Full Time

170%
X18%
212%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT28%72%51%49%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT61%39%80%20%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
MC Alger15%85%43%57%
Saint Eloi Lupopo61%39%87%13%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
MC Alger67%33%84%16%
Saint Eloi Lupopo97%3%99%1%

1st Half

149%
X44%
27%

1st Score

177%
X7%
215%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

44%

X-1

34%

X-X

11%

X-2

4%

2-2

3%

1-X

2%

2-1

2%

2-X

1%

1-2

0%

Correct Score

1-0

16.5%

2-0

12.5%

3-0

8.6%

2-1

8.2%

1-1

8.2%

0-0

7.1%

3-1

5.9%

0-1

4.4%

1-2

3.3%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Enugu Rangers – MC Alger prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).

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