Fast starters
7/10Millwall scored first in 7 of their last 10 (league 47%).
Millwall vs Lincoln City Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Championship - Season 2026/2027 (Round 11)
Wasteful
Lincoln City are scoring fewer goals than their chances (xG) usually bring
−4goals fewer than their chances (xG) in their last 9 with xG
77% of teams scoring this many fewer goals than their chances scored more in their next 10 games.
Bookmakers: Lincoln City 25% to winMillwall 49%
Millwall vs Lincoln City score prediction
Championship
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Millwall expected to create clearly more
2.6 goals in total, a little under the Championship average of 2.7.
goals expected
Millwall1.6
Lincoln City1.0Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
How we measure →Get our AI football prediction and stats for Millwall vs Lincoln City: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.
Millwall vs Lincoln City — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Championship
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Millwall to win
Our model 38%Bookmakers 49%
Our track record
In 2,079 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 43.6% of the time (bookmakers said 43.9%).
Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our model 56%Bookmakers 54%
Our track record
In 5,599 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.0% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our model 51%Bookmakers 50%
Our track record
In 5,117 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.2% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our model 71%Bookmakers 71%
Our track record
In 4,517 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.2% of the time (bookmakers said 71.6%).
First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our model 42%Bookmakers 43%
Our track record
In 6,615 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).
Millwall Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Millwall 0–1 goals
Our model 62%Bookmakers 50%
Our track record
In 3,423 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 64.0% of the time (bookmakers said 63.9%).
Lincoln City Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Lincoln City 0–1 goals
Our model 63%Bookmakers 70%
Our track record
In 2,657 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.0% of the time (bookmakers said 63.8%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Millwall vs Lincoln City — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Millwall vs Lincoln City. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Millwall–
Lincoln City–Winner
12 74%
BTTS*
Yes 56%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 61%
Millwall–Lincoln City–Winner
12 74%
BTTS*
Yes 56%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 61%
Full Time
138%
X26%
236%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 25% | 75% | 49% | 51% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 61% | 39% | 84% | 16% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28% | 72% | 62% | 38% |
| 30% | 70% | 63% | 37% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 84% | 16% | 95% | 5% |
| 86% | 14% | 95% | 5% |
1st Half
131%
X42%
227%
1st Score
149%
X7%
244%
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
23%
X-X
17%
2-2
17%
X-1
14%
X-2
11%
1-X
6%
2-X
6%
1-2
3%
2-1
3%
Correct Score
1-1
12.4%
1-0
9.3%
0-1
8.7%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
8.4%
0-0
6.6%
2-0
6.1%
2-2
5.7%
0-2
5.5%
3-1
3.9%
1-3
3.5%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Millwall vs Lincoln City: the stats that stand out
Championship
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Millwall: fast starters · Lincoln City: brick wall
7/10Brick wall
4/9Lincoln City kept 4 clean sheets in their last 9 (league 24%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Millwall vs Lincoln City: attack vs defence
Championship
Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
other Championship teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- Millwall: good attack, weak defence (1.55 xG, 1.45 xGA a game)
- Lincoln City: weak attack, good defence (1.31 xG, 1.37 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Millwall vs Lincoln City form and luck check
Championship
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Championship gamesBoth results in line with their chances
- MillwallBookmakers: 49% to win today.−0.1
- Lincoln CityBookmakers: 25% to win today. · 9 of 10 gamesWasteful · −4 goals−0.3
Last 5 matches
MillwallW
D
D
L
W
Lincoln CityL
L
W
W
D
W
D
L
Strength rank: Millwall 7th of 24 · Lincoln City 19th of 24
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 24 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →Millwall vs Lincoln City: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
Championship
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averageup to 10 recent Championship gamesBTTS = both teams scoredBoth teams score in Millwall and Lincoln City games less often than the Championship average (59%).
Over 2.5 goalsleague 53%
Millwall7 of 10
Lincoln City4 of 9
BTTSleague 59%
Millwall4 of 10
Lincoln City4 of 9
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 557 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Millwall vs Lincoln City corners, cards and goal times
Championship
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gameLincoln City: last 9 with these statsMillwall score late
Millwall
Lincoln City
4.6
Corners won · league 5.2
3.9
7.1
Corners conceded · league 5.2
7.3
1.5
Cards · league 1.9
2.6
2.6
Opponents' cards · league 1.9
1.4
50%
Goals before half-time · league 47%
43%
31%
Goals after 75' · league 21%
29%
24%
Conceded before half-time · league 47%
36%
24%
Conceded after 75' · league 21%
18%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Millwall2/5
Lincoln City2/5
Both Teams to Score
Millwall2/5
Lincoln City2/5
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Millwall3/5
Lincoln City2/5
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Millwall1/5
Lincoln City5/5
First Half Result
Millwall1/5
Lincoln City2/5
Correct Score
Millwall0/5
Lincoln City1/5
correct predictionwrong prediction