Banker as favourites
5/6Swansea City won 5 of 6 as favourites (league 48%).
Swansea City vs West Ham United Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Championship - Season 2026/2027 (Round 11)
Riding their luck
Swansea City are taking more points than their chances usually bring
+7points more than their chances usually bring in their last 10
85% of teams this far ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games.
Bookmakers: Swansea City 28% to winWest Ham United 47%
Swansea City vs West Ham United score prediction
Championship
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Goal-fest alert3.1 goals expected
3.1 goals in total: more goals than a typical Championship game (average 2.7).
goals expected
Swansea City1.5
West Ham United1.6Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
Goal-fest alert: we expect at least 2.7 goals, clearly more than usual in this league (8.5% above the average). Since July 2025, these games averaged 3.2 goals, and 62% went over 2.5.
Bore draw alert: we expect 2.3 goals or fewer, clearly less than usual (11% below the average). These games averaged 2.2 goals, and 63% stayed under 2.5.
Bookmakers usually see these coming too, so use the alert to know what kind of game to expect, not as a betting edge.
How we measure →Get our AI football prediction and stats for Swansea City vs West Ham United: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.
Swansea City vs West Ham United — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Championship
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
West Ham United to win
Our model 37%Bookmakers 47%
Our track record
In 2,079 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 43.6% of the time (bookmakers said 43.9%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Swansea City vs West Ham United — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Swansea City vs West Ham United. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Swansea City–
West Ham United–Winner
12 72%
BTTS*
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 66%
Swansea City–West Ham United–Winner
12 72%
BTTS*
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 66%
Full Time
135%
X28%
237%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 29% | 71% | 55% | 45% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 66% | 34% | 87% | 13% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 32% | 68% | 67% | 33% |
| 31% | 69% | 66% | 34% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 88% | 12% | 96% | 4% |
| 87% | 13% | 96% | 4% |
1st Half
130%
X42%
228%
1st Score
148%
X9%
244%
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
21%
2-2
20%
X-X
16%
X-1
13%
X-2
13%
1-X
6%
2-X
6%
1-2
3%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
1-1
13.2%
0-1
10.4%
1-0
10.2%
0-0
8.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-1
7.9%
0-2
6.2%
2-0
6.0%
2-2
5.0%
1-3
3.3%
3-1
3.1%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Swansea City vs West Ham United: the stats that stand out
Championship
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Swansea City: banker as favourites and brick wall · West Ham United: always on the scoresheet
5/6Always on the scoresheet
0/9West Ham United scored in all of their last 9 (league 24% fail to score).
Brick wall
4/10Swansea City kept 4 clean sheets in their last 10 (league 24%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Swansea City vs West Ham United: attack vs defence
Championship
Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
other Championship teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- Swansea City: good attack, good defence (1.47 xG, 1.19 xGA a game)
- West Ham United: good attack, good defence (1.83 xG, 1.38 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Swansea City vs West Ham United form and luck check
Championship
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Championship gamesSwansea City are taking more points than their chances usually bring
- Swansea CityBookmakers: 28% to win today.Clinical · +3 goals+7.4
- West Ham UnitedBookmakers: 47% to win today. · 9 of 10 gamesClinical · +5 goals−0.9
Last 5 matches
West Ham UnitedD
D
W
W
W
Swansea CityW
W
W
L
D
W
D
L
Strength rank: Swansea City 9th of 24 · West Ham United 1st of 24
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 24 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →Swansea City vs West Ham United: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
Championship
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averageup to 10 recent Championship gamesBTTS = both teams scoredSwansea City and West Ham United games both go over 2.5 goals more often than the Championship average (53%).
Over 2.5 goalsleague 53%
Swansea City7 of 10
West Ham United7 of 9
BTTSleague 59%
Swansea City6 of 10
West Ham United7 of 9
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 557 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Swansea City vs West Ham United corners, cards and goal times
Championship
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gameWest Ham United: last 9 with these statsGoal times close to the Championship average
Swansea City
West Ham United
4.6
Corners won · league 5.2
6.3
4.0
Corners conceded · league 5.2
4.3
1.5
Cards · league 1.9
2.2
1.4
Opponents' cards · league 1.9
1.7
39%
Goals before half-time · league 47%
39%
17%
Goals after 75' · league 21%
26%
63%
Conceded before half-time · league 47%
67%
25%
Conceded after 75' · league 21%
17%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
West Ham United2/5
Swansea City3/5
Both Teams to Score
West Ham United3/5
Swansea City4/5
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
West Ham United3/5
Swansea City4/5
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
West Ham United2/5
Swansea City3/5
First Half Result
West Ham United1/5
Swansea City1/5
Correct Score
West Ham United1/5
Swansea City0/5
correct predictionwrong prediction