Bohemians 1905 vs Mladá Boleslav 1-0 Score & Prediction Review
Chance Liga - Season 2026/2027 (Round 6)
Bohemians 19051–0
Mladá BoleslavOn these chances Bohemians 1905 would usually take 0.9 points and Mladá Boleslav 1.8; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Bohemians 1905.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Bohemians 1905 vs Mladá Boleslav stats: how the match was played
Chance Liga
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Mladá Boleslav had more than twice the shots on target
Bohemians 1905
Mladá Boleslav
2
Shots on target
5
0
Big chances
1
1
Corners
3
6
Yellow cards
3
37%
Possession
63%
Bohemians 1905 vs Mladá Boleslav — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Chance Liga
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Bohemians 1905 to win
CorrectOur track record
In 3,579 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 46.8% of the time (bookmakers said 46.8%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
WrongOur track record
In 5,615 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.0% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
WrongOur track record
In 5,257 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.6% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,921 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.1% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Bohemians 1905 ahead at half-time.
Our track record
In 1,196 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.0% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 35.1% than to our 35–40%.
Our model’s pick
Bohemians 1905 0–1 goals
CorrectThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Bohemians 1905 2+ goals.
Our track record
In 1,002 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 43.3% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.2% than to our 55–60%.
Our model’s pick
Mladá Boleslav 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 2,661 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.1% of the time (bookmakers said 63.8%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Bohemians 1905 vs Mladá Boleslav 1-0 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Bohemians 1905 vs Mladá Boleslav. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Bohemians 19051
Mladá Boleslav0Winner
1X 65%
BTTS*
Yes 57%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 58%
Bohemians 19051Mladá Boleslav0Winner
1X 65%
BTTS*
Yes 57%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 58%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 22% | 78% | 45% | 55% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 58% | 42% | 82% | 18% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26% | 74% | 59% | 41% |
| 30% | 70% | 63% | 37% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 82% | 18% | 94% | 6% |
| 84% | 16% | 94% | 6% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
24%
2-2
21%
X-X
14%
X-2
13%
X-1
12%
2-X
6%
1-X
5%
1-2
3%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
1-1
11.7%
2-1
9.3%
1-0
8.6%
1-2
8.2%
0-1
7.6%
0-0
6.0%
2-2
5.8%
2-0
5.8%
0-2
4.8%
3-1
4.0%
1-3
3.8%
3-0
3.7%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Bohemians 1905 vs Mladá Boleslav — Recent Form
Bohemians 1905 have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 9th in the table. Mladá Boleslav have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 4th in the table.
Last 5 matches
Bohemians 1905Mladá BoleslavOur prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Bohemians 1905Mladá BoleslavBoth Teams to Score
Bohemians 1905Mladá BoleslavOver/Under 2.5 Goals
Bohemians 1905Mladá BoleslavOver/Under 3.5 Goals
Bohemians 1905Mladá BoleslavFirst Half Result
Bohemians 1905Mladá BoleslavCorrect Score
Bohemians 1905Mladá Boleslav