Slow starters
0/10Líšeň haven't scored first in any of 10 recent matches with goal times (league 46%).
Chance Liga Predictions & Stats
Free AI predictions for every upcoming Chance Liga match — 1X2, Both Teams to Score, Over/Under goals and Correct Score probabilities.
Predictions updated on 17 October 2026.
Chance Liga Predictions by Market
Season 2026/2027 · Round 11 · Regular Season
Full-Time Result
56%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
Both Teams To Score
50%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
61%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
73%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
First Half Result
34%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
Correct Score
13%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
Chance Liga 2026/2027 prediction accuracy over the last 100 matches: 1X2 56%, BTTS 50%, Over/Under 2.5 61%, Over/Under 3.5 73%, correct score 13%.
Chance Liga stats: goals, BTTS, corners and cards vs other leagues
How this competition ranks among the leagues and cups we cover for goals, chances (xG), corners and cards.
How to read it
last 12 months · 269 matchesrank 1 = highest of 63 competitionsAway days pay
Goals a match
2.68
36th of 63
xG a match
2.81
33rd of 62
Corners a match
9.7
30th of 62
Cards a match
3.93
40th of 63
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We use the league's matches from the last 12 months, without qualifying rounds, and rank it against the 63 leagues and club competitions with 50 or more matches in that time (1 = highest). A label marks a league in the top fifth on goals, home or away wins, draws, cards or corners, or in the bottom fifth on goals. xG is our estimate of each match's chances from its shots.
Chance Liga: the stats that stand out
The Chance Liga teams most unusual in their last 10 games.
How to read it
the teamleague averageeach team's last 10 games0/10Always chasing
8/10Zlín conceded first in 8 of 10 recent matches with goal times (league 46%).
Always on the scoresheet
0/10Slavia Praha scored in all of their last 10 (league 30% fail to score).
Goal-fests
8/10Sigma Olomouc games went over 2.5 goals in 8 of their last 10 (league 52%).
Goals at both ends
7/10Viktoria Plzeň: both teams scored in 7 of their last 10 (league 48%).
Leaky
1/10Pardubice kept only 1 clean sheet in their last 10 (league 30%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each stat we show the club that stands out most, one club per stat. A fact needs at least 6 games and a result far enough from the league average to be unusual (at least one standard deviation).
How we measure →Today's Betting Tips for Chance Liga Czech Republic
Free predictions for today's Chance Liga matches: 1X2, both teams to score, over/under and correct score.
Pardubice–
Zlín–Winner
1X 70%
BTTS*
Yes 55%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 61%
Pardubice–Zlín–Winner
1X 70%
BTTS*
Yes 55%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 61%
Full Time
144%
X26%
230%
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25% | 75% | 57% | 43% |
| 35% | 65% | 68% | 32% |
Goals Over/Under
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 49% | 51% | 61% | 39% |
Correct Score
1-1
12.0%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.7%
0-1
7.5%
0-0
7.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-0
7.2%
Slavia Praha–
Hradec Králové–Winner
1 66%
BTTS*
Yes 54%
Correct Score
2-0 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 59%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 55%
Slavia Praha–Hradec Králové–Winner
1 66%
BTTS*
Yes 54%
Correct Score
2-0 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 59%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 55%
Líšeň–
Bohemians 1905–Winner
12 73%
BTTS*
Yes 54%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 62%
Líšeň–Bohemians 1905–Winner
12 73%
BTTS*
Yes 54%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 62%
Mladá Boleslav–
Teplice–Winner
1X 72%
BTTS*
Yes 59%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 57%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 57%
Mladá Boleslav–Teplice–Winner
1X 72%
BTTS*
Yes 59%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 57%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 57%
Sigma Olomouc–
Slovan Liberec–Winner
12 73%
BTTS*
Yes 54%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 59%
Sigma Olomouc–Slovan Liberec–Winner
12 73%
BTTS*
Yes 54%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 59%
Slovácko–
Zbrojovka Brno–Winner
X2 68%
BTTS*
Yes 54%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 60%
Slovácko–Zbrojovka Brno–Winner
X2 68%
BTTS*
Yes 54%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 60%
Baník Ostrava–
Sparta Praha–Winner
2 57%
BTTS*
Yes 56%
Correct Score
1-2 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 59%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 56%
Baník Ostrava–Sparta Praha–Winner
2 57%
BTTS*
Yes 56%
Correct Score
1-2 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 59%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 56%
Jablonec–
Viktoria Plzeň–Winner
1X 75%
BTTS*
Yes 54%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 50%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 62%
Jablonec–Viktoria Plzeň–Winner
1X 75%
BTTS*
Yes 54%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 50%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 62%
Hradec Králové–Jablonec–Winner
1X 69%
BTTS*
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 65%
Hradec Králové–Jablonec–Winner
1X 69%
BTTS*
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 65%
Sparta Praha–Slovácko–Winner
1 72%
BTTS*
Yes 54%
Correct Score
2-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 65%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 52%
Sparta Praha–Slovácko–Winner
1 72%
BTTS*
Yes 54%
Correct Score
2-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 65%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 52%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Chance Liga xG: chances created and allowed
Every Chance Liga team's chances created and allowed a game, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
each logo is a team · tap one for detailseach logo is a team · hover one for detailsChance Liga average · 1.41 xG, 1.41 xGAlast 10 games eachTap a logo to see the team's numbers
↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
Teams by box· 16
Good attack, good defence
Good attack, weak defence
Weak attack, good defence
Weak attack, weak defence
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Chance Liga Results vs the Odds
Season 2026/2027 and the last 30 days
How often each result has happened in Chance Liga this season (thick bar) and in the last 30 days (thin bar), next to what the bookmakers’ closing odds expected. The last 30 days cover fewer matches, so their normal range is wider and big swings there are still normal. This is not our prediction accuracy.
How to read it
what the closing odds expectednormal range: chance alone lands here 19 times in 20gap to the odds, in percentage pointsgap outside the normal rangethick bar: Season · thin bar: 30 days
Result · happened
◀ fewer −30◀ fewer than expected · −30 pts odds expected+30 more ▶+30 pts · more than expected ▶
Verdict
Home wins
80 matches
45.0%
Season (80) · 45.0% vs 44.6%
Season
+0.4
±10.2
30 days (17) · 41.2% vs 45.6%
30 days
−4.4
±22.3
Draws
80 matches
20.0%
Season (80) · 20.0% vs 24.5%
Season
−4.5
±9.4
30 days (17) · 23.5% vs 24.2%
30 days
−0.7
±20.3
Away wins
80 matches
35.0%
Season (80) · 35.0% vs 30.9%
Season
+4.1
±9.5
30 days (17) · 35.3% vs 30.2%
30 days
+5.1
±20.3
Over 2.5 goals
80 matches
53.8%
Season (80) · 53.8% vs 53.6%
Season
+0.2
±10.9
30 days (17) · 35.3% vs 55.5%
30 days
−20.2
±23.5
Both teams scored
80 matches
50.0%
Season (80) · 50.0% vs 53.2%
Season
−3.2
±10.9
30 days (17) · 35.3% vs 54.6%
30 days
−19.3
±23.5
Show more markets (6)Show fewer markets
Over 3.5 goals
80 matches
26.3%
Season (80) · 26.3% vs 31.5%
Season
−5.2
±10.1
30 days (17) · 11.8% vs 33.3%
30 days
−21.6
±22.3
Home side ahead at half-time
80 matches
40.0%
Season (80) · 40.0% vs 34.6%
Season
+5.4
±10.1
30 days (17) · 29.4% vs 35.2%
30 days
−5.8
±22.1
Level at half-time
80 matches
27.5%
Season (80) · 27.5% vs 40.2%Fewer than expected
Season
−12.7
±10.7Fewer than expected
30 days (17) · 29.4% vs 39.5%
30 days
−10.0
±23.2
Away side ahead at half-time
80 matches
32.5%
Season (80) · 32.5% vs 25.2%
Season
+7.3
±9.2
30 days (17) · 41.2% vs 25.3%
30 days
+15.8
±20.0
Home team scored 2+
80 matches
46.3%
Season (80) · 46.3% vs 45.9%
Season
+0.3
±10.4
30 days (17) · 41.2% vs 47.6%
30 days
−6.5
±22.7
Away team scored 2+
80 matches
35.0%
Season (80) · 35.0% vs 34.4%
Season
+0.6
±10.0
30 days (17) · 29.4% vs 35.0%
30 days
−5.6
±21.7
Outside the normal range this season: Level at half-time 27.5% vs 40.2% expected (chance alone: about 1 in 50).
Shows what happened, not what comes next. Closing odds from one bookmaker per match, bookmaker margin removed. Updated daily.
Show as a tableHide the table
| Result | Period | Matches | Happened | Odds expected | Gap (pts) | Normal range (± pts) | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home wins | Season | 80 | 45.0% | 44.6% | +0.4 | ±10.2 | Normal range |
| Home wins | 30 days | 17 | 41.2% | 45.6% | −4.4 | ±22.3 | Normal range |
| Draws | Season | 80 | 20.0% | 24.5% | −4.5 | ±9.4 | Normal range |
| Draws | 30 days | 17 | 23.5% | 24.2% | −0.7 | ±20.3 | Normal range |
| Away wins | Season | 80 | 35.0% | 30.9% | +4.1 | ±9.5 | Normal range |
| Away wins | 30 days | 17 | 35.3% | 30.2% | +5.1 | ±20.3 | Normal range |
| Over 2.5 goals | Season | 80 | 53.8% | 53.6% | +0.2 | ±10.9 | Normal range |
| Over 2.5 goals | 30 days | 17 | 35.3% | 55.5% | −20.2 | ±23.5 | Normal range |
| Both teams scored | Season | 80 | 50.0% | 53.2% | −3.2 | ±10.9 | Normal range |
| Both teams scored | 30 days | 17 | 35.3% | 54.6% | −19.3 | ±23.5 | Normal range |
| Over 3.5 goals | Season | 80 | 26.3% | 31.5% | −5.2 | ±10.1 | Normal range |
| Over 3.5 goals | 30 days | 17 | 11.8% | 33.3% | −21.6 | ±22.3 | Normal range |
| Home side ahead at half-time | Season | 80 | 40.0% | 34.6% | +5.4 | ±10.1 | Normal range |
| Home side ahead at half-time | 30 days | 17 | 29.4% | 35.2% | −5.8 | ±22.1 | Normal range |
| Level at half-time | Season | 80 | 27.5% | 40.2% | −12.7 | ±10.7 | Fewer than expected |
| Level at half-time | 30 days | 17 | 29.4% | 39.5% | −10.0 | ±23.2 | Normal range |
| Away side ahead at half-time | Season | 80 | 32.5% | 25.2% | +7.3 | ±9.2 | Normal range |
| Away side ahead at half-time | 30 days | 17 | 41.2% | 25.3% | +15.8 | ±20.0 | Normal range |
| Home team scored 2+ | Season | 80 | 46.3% | 45.9% | +0.3 | ±10.4 | Normal range |
| Home team scored 2+ | 30 days | 17 | 41.2% | 47.6% | −6.5 | ±22.7 | Normal range |
| Away team scored 2+ | Season | 80 | 35.0% | 34.4% | +0.6 | ±10.0 | Normal range |
| Away team scored 2+ | 30 days | 17 | 29.4% | 35.0% | −5.6 | ±21.7 | Normal range |
Chance Liga luck check: the last 10 games
Chance Liga teams taking more or fewer points than their chances usually bring, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringnormal range (±4)outside it+5.1 = 5 points more than their chances usually bringRiding their luck3
Mladá BoleslavClinical · +3 goals+5.1
TepliceClinical · +6 goals+4.9
Zbrojovka Brno+4.2
Unlucky3
- Zlín−6.3
- PardubiceWasteful · −4 goals−5.3
- Viktoria PlzeňClinical · +4 goals−4.7
Points in line, but wasteful: Baník Ostrava (−6 goals), Slovan Liberec (−3), Jablonec (−3). Clinical: Sigma Olomouc (+4).
In line with their chances: Slavia Praha, Bohemians 1905, Hradec Králové, Líšeň, Sparta Praha and Slovácko.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
How we measure →Chance Liga last week: smash-and-grab wins and upsets
Smash-and-grab wins (the side with clearly fewer chances won) and upsets (results the closing odds gave under 20%) from the last 7 days.
How to read it
Oct 10–Oct 17 · 8 matches · odds: closing, margin removed
Slovan Liberec0-2
SlováckoSmash-and-grabSlovácko beat Slovan Liberec 2-0 despite fewer chances (xG 0.4 vs 1.9).
UpsetBookmakers gave Slovácko 13.2% to win at kick-off.
Hradec Králové2-4LíšeňUpsetBookmakers gave Líšeň 18.2% to win at kick-off.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Smash-and-grab: the winner had at least 0.8 less xG than the loser (our xG, from shots). Upset: the result the closing odds gave under 20%, with the bookmaker margin removed. Across our leagues about 6% of matches are smash-and-grab wins and about 5% are upsets.
How we measure →Chance Liga Standings
Check the current league table, team positions, points, and form. Click to view complete standings with detailed statistics.
#TEAM | MP | PTS | W | D | L | G | GD | FORM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1  Slavia Praha | 10 | 26 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 26:6 | +20 | W W W W W |
2  Slovan Liberec | 10 | 20 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 13:6 | +7 | L D W W W |
3  Sparta Praha | 10 | 18 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 20:12 | +8 | W W W L L |
4  Mladá Boleslav | 10 | 17 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17:13 | +4 | L L W L W |
5  Sigma Olomouc | 10 | 17 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17:14 | +3 | D L W W L |
Championship Round
Middle Play-off
Relegation Round
MP=Matches Played
PTS=Points
W=Wins
D=Draws
L=Losses
G=Goals (For:Against)
GD=Goal Difference
FORM=Last 5 Matches
The league profile compares Chance Liga with the 63 leagues and cups we rank over the last 12 months (rank 1 = highest). The stats that stand out pick the most unusual numbers from each team's last 10 games. The attack vs defence chart puts each team in one of four boxes: top right creates more and allows fewer chances than the league average. The luck check shows who got more or fewer points than their chances in the last 10 games, and Last week lists wins with fewer chances and results the bookmakers gave under 20%.
These statistics represent prediction accuracy based on the last 100 matches in the league. Accuracy reflects how often the model correctly predicted the outcome for each market. Our football predictions are generated using advanced AI techniques combined with historical match data, team form, player availability and head-to-head records to deliver reliable forecasts. Explore our prediction results tracker for live accuracy across all completed matches, our league accuracy data for competition-level breakdowns, or prediction performance for team-level insights.
About Chance Liga
Chance Liga, formerly known as Fortuna Liga, is the top professional football league in the Czech Republic. It consists of 16 teams and operates on a system of promotion and relegation. The league is known for its competitive matches and passionate fan base. AC Sparta Prague and SK Slavia Prague are the most successful clubs in Chance Liga history.