1. Sparta Praha vs Slovan Liberec

Sparta Praha vs Slovan Liberec Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Chance Liga - Season 2026/2027 (Round 15)

Wasteful

Slovan Liberec are scoring fewer goals than their chances (xG) usually bring

−6goals fewer than their chances (xG) in their last 10

77% of teams scoring this many fewer goals than their chances scored more in their next 10 games.

Sparta Praha vs Slovan Liberec score prediction

Chance Liga

The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.

Sparta Praha expected to create clearly more

2.6 goals in total, a little under the Chance Liga average of 2.7.

goals expected

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.

Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.

How we measure →
The match Sparta Praha vs Slovan Liberec will be played on Sunday, November 22 as part of the 2026/2027 season. This fixture will be played in the Round 15 of the Chance Liga, played in Czech Republic. On this page, you’ll find our detailed football prediction for Sparta Praha vs Slovan Liberec, including full-time result (1X2) probabilities, draw chances, and additional betting insights. Our predictions are generated using data-driven models that analyze team form, recent performances, and historical trends to deliver reliable match forecasts.

Sparta Praha vs Slovan Liberec — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market

Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Sparta Praha vs Slovan Liberec. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.

Sparta PrahaSparta Praha–
Slovan LiberecSlovan Liberec–

Winner

1 52%

BTTS*

Yes 58%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 60%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 53%

Full Time

152%
X24%
224%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT19%81%40%60%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT53%47%77%23%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Sparta Praha18%82%46%54%
Slovan Liberec38%62%69%31%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Sparta Praha72%28%88%12%
Slovan Liberec89%11%97%3%

1st Half

140%
X39%
222%

1st Score

158%
X5%
237%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

33%

X-1

16%

X-X

15%

2-2

13%

X-2

8%

1-X

5%

2-X

5%

1-2

3%

2-1

3%

Correct Score

1-1

10.6%

2-1

9.7%

1-0

8.7%

2-0

7.8%

2-2

6.6%

1-2

6.4%

3-1

5.9%

0-1

5.1%

0-0

5.0%

3-0

4.7%

3-2

4.2%

0-2

3.3%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Sparta Praha vs Slovan Liberec: the stats that stand out

Chance Liga

Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.

How to read it

the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%

Sparta Praha: brick wall and hard to break

Brick wall
Sparta Praha6/10

Sparta Praha kept 6 clean sheets in their last 10 (league 30%).

Hard to break
Sparta Praha2/10

Sparta Praha conceded first in only 2 of their last 10 (league 46%).

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.

How we measure →

Sparta Praha vs Slovan Liberec: attack vs defence

Chance Liga

Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.

How to read it

other Chance Liga teamsleague averagelast 10 games

↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)

More chances created (xG a game) →

  • Sparta PrahaSparta Praha: good attack, good defence (2.20 xG, 1.12 xGA a game)
  • Slovan LiberecSlovan Liberec: good attack, good defence (1.75 xG, 1.12 xGA)

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.

How we measure →

Sparta Praha vs Slovan Liberec form and luck check

Chance Liga

Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.

How to read it

what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Chance Liga games

Both results in line with their chances

  • Sparta Praha
    Sparta Praha
    −2.5
  • Slovan Liberec
    Slovan LiberecWasteful · −6 goals
    +0.9

Last 5 matches

Sparta PrahaSparta Praha
D
D
W
D
W
4th in table
Slovan LiberecSlovan Liberec
W
W
L
L
D
2nd in table
W
D
L
Last 5 Matches

Strength rank: Sparta Praha 2nd of 16 · Slovan Liberec 4th of 16

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.

We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.

Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.

Strength rank: we rank this season's 16 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.

How we measure →

Sparta Praha vs Slovan Liberec: Over 2.5 & BTTS?

Chance Liga

How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.

How to read it

a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Chance Liga gamesBTTS = both teams scored

Slovan Liberec games go over 2.5 goals less often than the Chance Liga average (54%), Sparta Praha games more often.

Over 2.5 goalsleague 54%
Sparta Praha6 of 10
Slovan Liberec3 of 10
BTTSleague 48%
Sparta Praha3 of 10
Slovan Liberec3 of 10

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 271 games played here in the last 12 months.

How we measure →

Sparta Praha vs Slovan Liberec corners, cards and goal times

Chance Liga

Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.

How to read it

league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gamePro
  • Corners won: league 4.9
  • Cards: league 2.0
  • Goals before half-time: league 46%
  • Goals after 75': league 21%

Corners and cards for every league: League stats →

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.

How we measure →

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Sparta PrahaSparta Praha
2/5
Slovan LiberecSlovan Liberec
3/5

Both Teams to Score

Sparta PrahaSparta Praha
2/5
Slovan LiberecSlovan Liberec
3/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Sparta PrahaSparta Praha
1/5
Slovan LiberecSlovan Liberec
3/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Sparta PrahaSparta Praha
4/5
Slovan LiberecSlovan Liberec
5/5

First Half Result

Sparta PrahaSparta Praha
4/5
Slovan LiberecSlovan Liberec
2/5

Correct Score

Sparta PrahaSparta Praha
1/5
Slovan LiberecSlovan Liberec
0/5
correct predictionwrong prediction

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