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Salzburg vs FC Bayern München 0-5 Score & Prediction Review
Club Friendlies - Season 2026 Regular Season (Qualifying)
Salzburg0–5
FC Bayern MünchenOn these chances Salzburg would usually take 0.7 points and FC Bayern München 2.1; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: FC Bayern München.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Salzburg vs FC Bayern München stats: how the match was played
Club Friendlies
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
FC Bayern München had more than twice the shots on target
Salzburg
FC Bayern München
3
Shots on target
10
2
Big chances
6
1
Corners
4
0
Yellow cards
0
33%
Possession
68%
Salzburg vs FC Bayern München — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Club Friendlies
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
FC Bayern München to win
CorrectOur track record
In 1,811 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.2% of the time (bookmakers said 61.3%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
WrongOur track record
In 2,479 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.7% of the time (bookmakers said 61.7%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 1,170 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.0% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Over 3.5 goals.
Our track record
In 183 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.4% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 44.4% than to our 50–55%.
Our model’s pick
FC Bayern München ahead at half-time
CorrectOur track record
In 4,292 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 48.0% of the time (bookmakers said 47.2%).
Our model’s pick
Salzburg 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 2,697 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 69.0% of the time (bookmakers said 67.6%).
Our model’s pick
FC Bayern München 2+ goals
CorrectOur track record
In 2,674 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.4% of the time (bookmakers said 63.7%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Salzburg vs FC Bayern München 0-5 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Salzburg vs FC Bayern München. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Salzburg0
FC Bayern München5Winner
2 60%
BTTS*
Yes 64%
Correct Score
1-2 09%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 68%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 56%
Salzburg0FC Bayern München5Winner
2 60%
BTTS*
Yes 64%
Correct Score
1-2 09%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 68%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 56%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 14% | 86% | 32% | 68% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 44% | 56% | 69% | 31% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 42% | 58% | 70% | 30% |
| 13% | 87% | 36% | 64% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 89% | 11% | 96% | 4% |
| 62% | 38% | 82% | 18% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
40%
X-2
15%
1-1
11%
X-X
11%
X-1
7%
1-X
5%
1-2
5%
2-X
4%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
1-2
9.3%
1-1
8.4%
0-2
8.1%
0-1
6.9%
1-3
6.5%
0-3
6.1%
2-2
5.9%
2-1
5.4%
2-3
5.2%
1-0
3.6%
0-0
3.2%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score