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River Plate vs Millonarios

River Plate vs Millonarios 1-0 Score & Prediction Review

Club Friendlies - Season 2026 Regular Season (Qualifying)

River Plate vs Millonarios stats: how the match was played

Club Friendlies

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

River Plate had more than twice the shots on target

River Plate

Millonarios

Shots on target

Corners

Yellow cards

Red cards

The match between River Plate and Millonarios ended 1-0. Our AI model correctly predicted a River Plate win with 51% confidence before kick-off. A strong performance overall — our model hit all 4 key markets for this fixture, correctly calling Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.

River Plate vs Millonarios — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Club Friendlies

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

River Plate to win

Correct

Our model 52%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 2,471 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.8% of the time (bookmakers said 55.1%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Correct

Our model 57%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 5,306 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: River Plate ahead at half-time.

Our model 47%Bookmakers 43%

Our track record

In 549 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 35.7% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 38.8% than to our 45–50%.

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

River Plate vs Millonarios 1-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for River Plate vs Millonarios. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Club Friendlies - World

River Plate1

Millonarios0

Winner

1 51%

BTTS*

No 53%

Correct Score

1-0 14%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 57%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 68%

· FT

Club Friendlies - World

River Plate1

Millonarios0

Winner

1 51%

BTTS*

No 53%

Correct Score

1-0 14%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 57%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 68%

Full Time

151%

X26%

222%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	31%	69%	57%	43%	68%	32%	88%	12%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	31%	69%	57%	43%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	68%	32%	88%	12%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	23%	77%	56%	44%	82%	18%	94%	6%
	44%	56%	79%	21%	94%	6%	99%	1%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	23%	77%	56%	44%
	44%	56%	79%	21%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	82%	18%	94%	6%
	94%	6%	99%	1%

1st Half

135%

X47%

218%

1st Score

158%

X9%

233%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

28%

X-X

20%

X-1

18%

2-2

12%

X-2

2-X

1-X

1-2

2-1

Correct Score

1-0

13.7%

1-1

12.2%

2-0

10.3%

2-1

9.8%

0-0

9.4%

0-1

8.0%

1-2

5.8%

3-1

4.7%

3-0

4.3%

2-2

3.9%

0-2

3.4%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score