1. Rosenborg vs Manchester United

Rosenborg vs Manchester United 0-5 Score & Prediction Review

Club Friendlies - Season 2026 Regular Season (Qualifying)

Fair result
RosenborgRosenborg

0–5

Manchester UnitedManchester United
1.0Chances (xG)1.6

On these chances Rosenborg would usually take 1.0 points and Manchester United 1.8; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Manchester United.

Rosenborg −1.0 pts vs chancesManchester United +1.2 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Rosenborg vs Manchester United stats: how the match was played

Club Friendlies

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Manchester United had more than twice the shots on target

Rosenborg

Manchester United

2

Shots on target

6

1

Big chances

4

1

Corners

6

0

Yellow cards

1

53%

Possession

47%

The match between Rosenborg and Manchester United ended 0-5. Our AI model predicted a Rosenborg win at 42% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Our model got 1 out of 4 markets right, correctly predicting Over/Under 2.5 Goals — a reminder that football can be unpredictable, but the data continues to sharpen future predictions.

Rosenborg vs Manchester United — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Club Friendlies

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Rosenborg to win

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Manchester United to win.

Our model 42%Bookmakers 16%

Our track record

In 1,071 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 30.3% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 30.2% than to our 40–45%.

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong
Our model 59%Bookmakers 68%

Our track record

In 5,711 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 57%Bookmakers 74%

Our track record

In 5,299 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.5% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Over 3.5 goals.

Our model 66%Bookmakers 46%

Our track record

In 130 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 49.2% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 47.4% than to our 65–70%.

First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Manchester United ahead at half-time.

Our model 40%Bookmakers 33%

Our track record

In 1,194 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 35.4% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 35.1% than to our 35–40%.

Rosenborg Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Rosenborg 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 56%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 3,489 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.9% of the time (bookmakers said 61.2%).

Manchester United Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Manchester United 0–1 goals

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Manchester United 2+ goals.

Our model 62%Bookmakers 30%

Our track record

In 379 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 43.8% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.7% than to our 60–65%.

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Rosenborg vs Manchester United 0-5 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Rosenborg vs Manchester United. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
RosenborgRosenborg0
Manchester UnitedManchester United5

Winner

1X 67%

BTTS*

Yes 59%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 57%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 56%

Full Time

142%
X25%
233%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT21%79%43%57%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT56%44%80%20%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Rosenborg25%75%56%44%
Manchester United31%69%62%38%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Rosenborg80%20%93%7%
Manchester United84%16%95%5%

1st Half

134%
X40%
227%

1st Score

150%
X6%
244%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

24%

2-2

19%

X-X

15%

X-1

14%

X-2

12%

1-X

6%

2-X

4%

1-2

3%

2-1

3%

Correct Score

1-1

11.1%

2-1

9.1%

1-0

8.4%

1-2

7.8%

0-1

6.9%

2-0

6.2%

2-2

6.2%

0-0

5.7%

0-2

4.8%

3-1

4.4%

1-3

3.6%

3-2

3.3%

3-0

3.2%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

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