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Alcoyano vs Mallorca Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Copa Del Rey - Season 2026/2027 1st Round (Knock Out)
Alcoyano vs Mallorca — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Copa Del Rey
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Mallorca to win
Our track record
In 2,085 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 43.7% of the time (bookmakers said 43.9%).
Our model’s pick
No, not both
Our track record
In 5,707 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
Our track record
In 101 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 41.6% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.2% than to our 60–65%.
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our track record
In 1,703 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 80.6% of the time (bookmakers said 81.3%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our track record
In 549 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 34.8% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 38.8% than to our 45–50%.
Our model’s pick
Alcoyano 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 1,589 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.7% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).
Our model’s pick
Mallorca 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 135 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.7% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.7% than to our 65–70%.
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Alcoyano vs Mallorca — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Alcoyano vs Mallorca. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Alcoyano–
Mallorca–Winner
12 70%
BTTS*
No 57%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 62%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 71%
Alcoyano–Mallorca–Winner
12 70%
BTTS*
No 57%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 62%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 71%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 36% | 64% | 62% | 38% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 71% | 29% | 90% | 10% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 37% | 63% | 72% | 28% |
 | 35% | 65% | 69% | 31% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 92% | 8% | 97% | 3% |
| 88% | 12% | 96% | 4% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
20%
X-X
20%
2-2
18%
X-1
14%
X-2
14%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
1-2
2%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
1-1
13.3%
0-1
12.0%
0-0
11.9%
1-0
11.6%
1-2
7.0%
2-1
6.8%
0-2
6.8%
2-0
6.7%
2-2
4.0%
1-3
3.1%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score