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Xerez vs Cádiz Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Copa Del Rey - Season 2026/2027 1st Round (Knock Out)
Xerez vs Cádiz — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Copa Del Rey
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Cádiz to win
Our track record
In 3,599 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.4% of the time (bookmakers said 47.0%).
Our model’s pick
No, not both
Our track record
In 3,096 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
Our track record
In 801 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.2% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 55–60%.
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our track record
In 3,636 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 76.1% of the time (bookmakers said 76.2%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our track record
In 548 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 34.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 38.8% than to our 45–50%.
Our model’s pick
Xerez 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 1,590 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.8% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).
Our model’s pick
Cádiz 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 367 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 43.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.7% than to our 60–65%.
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Xerez vs Cádiz — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Xerez vs Cádiz. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Xerez–
Cádiz–Winner
X2 71%
BTTS*
No 55%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 59%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 69%
Xerez–Cádiz–Winner
X2 71%
BTTS*
No 55%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 59%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 69%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 33% | 67% | 59% | 41% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 69% | 31% | 89% | 11% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 39% | 62% | 74% | 26% |
 | 30% | 70% | 63% | 37% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 92% | 8% | 97% | 3% |
| 85% | 15% | 95% | 5% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
X-X
21%
2-2
21%
1-1
19%
X-2
15%
X-1
13%
2-X
5%
1-X
4%
1-2
1%
2-1
1%
Correct Score
1-1
13.1%
0-1
11.9%
0-0
10.4%
1-0
10.1%
1-2
8.3%
0-2
7.9%
2-1
6.4%
2-0
5.3%
2-2
4.1%
1-3
3.8%
0-3
3.6%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score