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Castellonense vs Almería Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Copa Del Rey - Season 2026/2027 1st Round (Knock Out)
Castellonense vs Almería — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Copa Del Rey
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Almería to win
Our track record
In 1,062 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 66.9% of the time (bookmakers said 66.3%).
Our model’s pick
No, not both
Our track record
In 5,699 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.9% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
Our track record
In 799 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.3% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 55–60%.
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our track record
In 3,628 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 76.1% of the time (bookmakers said 76.2%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our track record
In 2,249 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.7% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 37.3% than to our 40–45%.
Our model’s pick
Castellonense 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 117 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 85–90% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 87.2% of the time (bookmakers said 84.9%).
Our model’s pick
Almería 2+ goals
Our track record
In 1,019 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 60.1% of the time (bookmakers said 59.3%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Castellonense vs Almería — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Castellonense vs Almería. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Castellonense–
Almería–Winner
2 62%
BTTS*
No 57%
Correct Score
0-1 15%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 57%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 67%
Castellonense–Almería–Winner
2 62%
BTTS*
No 57%
Correct Score
0-1 15%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 57%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 67%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 30% | 70% | 57% | 43% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 67% | 33% | 86% | 14% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 55% | 45% | 87% | 13% |
 | 18% | 82% | 49% | 51% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 98% | 2% | 100% | 0% |
| 74% | 26% | 89% | 11% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
39%
X-2
20%
X-X
17%
1-1
7%
X-1
7%
1-X
4%
2-X
4%
1-2
2%
2-1
1%
Correct Score
0-1
14.7%
0-2
12.8%
1-1
11.7%
0-0
9.3%
1-2
9.0%
0-3
7.7%
1-0
6.3%
1-3
5.1%
2-1
3.3%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score