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RSD Alcalá vs Las Palmas 1-3 Score & Prediction Review
Copa Del Rey - Season 2026/2027 1st Round (Knock Out)
RSD Alcalá vs Las Palmas stats: how the match was played
Copa Del Rey
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Even on chances
RSD Alcalá
Las Palmas
1.8
Chances (xG)
2.4
8
Shots on target
10
2
Big chances
6
4
Corners
7
7
Yellow cards
0
23%
Possession
77%
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →RSD Alcalá vs Las Palmas — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Copa Del Rey
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Las Palmas to win
WrongOur track record
In 3,639 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.7% of the time (bookmakers said 47.0%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
CorrectOur track record
In 6,518 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
WrongOur track record
In 5,183 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.2% of the time (bookmakers said 56.5%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 4,601 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.1% of the time (bookmakers said 71.4%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
CorrectThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Las Palmas ahead at half-time.
Our track record
In 2,300 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 37.3% than to our 40–45%.
Our model’s pick
RSD Alcalá 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 2,681 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 69.3% of the time (bookmakers said 67.6%).
Our model’s pick
Las Palmas 0–1 goals
CorrectThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Las Palmas 2+ goals.
Our track record
In 656 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.7% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 44.7% than to our 55–60%.
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
RSD Alcalá vs Las Palmas 1-3 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for RSD Alcalá vs Las Palmas. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
RSD Alcalá1
Las Palmas3Winner
X2 68%
BTTS*
Yes 54%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 61%
RSD Alcalá1Las Palmas3Winner
X2 68%
BTTS*
Yes 54%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 61%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 25% | 75% | 48% | 52% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 61% | 39% | 84% | 16% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 34% | 66% | 67% | 33% |
 | 26% | 74% | 59% | 41% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 88% | 12% | 96% | 4% |
| 82% | 18% | 94% | 6% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
22%
1-1
19%
X-X
16%
X-2
16%
X-1
13%
1-X
5%
2-X
4%
1-2
3%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
1-1
12.1%
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.1%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.7%
0-0
7.1%
0-2
6.6%
2-2
5.3%
2-0
4.8%
1-3
4.2%
0-3
3.6%
2-3
3.1%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
RSD Alcalá vs Las Palmas — Recent Form
Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Las PalmasRSD AlcaláBoth Teams to Score
Las PalmasRSD AlcaláOver/Under 2.5 Goals
Las PalmasRSD AlcaláOver/Under 3.5 Goals
Las PalmasRSD AlcaláFirst Half Result
Las PalmasRSD AlcaláCorrect Score
Las PalmasRSD Alcalá