- Home
- Sporting Alcázar vs Málaga
Sporting Alcázar vs Málaga Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Copa Del Rey - Season 2026/2027 1st Round (Knock Out)
Sporting Alcázar vs Málaga — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Copa Del Rey
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Málaga to win
Our track record
In 143 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 83.9% of the time (bookmakers said 80.8%).
Our model’s pick
No, not both
Our track record
In 5,699 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.9% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our track record
In 3,102 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.4% of the time (bookmakers said 62.7%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our track record
In 254 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 47.2% than to our 60–65%.
Our model’s pick
Málaga ahead at half-time
Our track record
In 303 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 60.4% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).
Our model’s pick
Sporting Alcázar 0–1 goals
Our track record
Too few similar matches in the last 12 months for a track record.
Our model’s pick
Málaga 2+ goals
Our track record
In 3,359 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.6% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Sporting Alcázar vs Málaga — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Sporting Alcázar vs Málaga. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Sporting Alcázar–
Málaga–Winner
2 79%
BTTS*
No 56%
Correct Score
0-2 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 60%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 52%
Sporting Alcázar–Málaga–Winner
2 79%
BTTS*
No 56%
Correct Score
0-2 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 60%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 52%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 19% | 81% | 40% | 60% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 52% | 48% | 69% | 31% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 67% | 33% | 92% | 8% |
 | 10% | 90% | 30% | 70% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 100% | 0% | 100% | 0% |
| 52% | 48% | 71% | 29% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
52%
X-2
19%
X-X
9%
1-1
6%
X-1
5%
1-X
3%
2-X
3%
1-2
2%
2-1
1%
Correct Score
0-2
12.3%
0-3
10.8%
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8.7%
1-1
7.0%
1-3
5.8%
0-0
4.7%
1-0
3.6%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Sporting AlcázarBoth Teams to Score
Sporting AlcázarOver/Under 2.5 Goals
Sporting AlcázarOver/Under 3.5 Goals
Sporting AlcázarFirst Half Result
Sporting AlcázarCorrect Score
Sporting Alcázar