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SD Amorebieta vs UD Logroñés Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Copa Del Rey - Season 2026/2027 1st Round (Knock Out)
Amorebieta vs UD Logroñés — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Copa Del Rey
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
UD Logroñés to win
Our track record
In 3,611 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.8% of the time (bookmakers said 47.0%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our track record
In 6,458 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.2% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
Our track record
In 2,873 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.3% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.2% than to our 50–55%.
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our track record
In 4,576 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.2% of the time (bookmakers said 71.4%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our track record
In 6,647 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.2% of the time (bookmakers said 44.1%).
Our model’s pick
Amorebieta 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 2,649 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 69.5% of the time (bookmakers said 67.6%).
Our model’s pick
UD Logroñés 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 378 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 43.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.7% than to our 60–65%.
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Amorebieta vs UD Logroñés — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Amorebieta vs UD Logroñés. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Amorebieta–
UD Logroñés–Winner
X2 66%
BTTS*
Yes 51%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 62%
Amorebieta–UD Logroñés–Winner
X2 66%
BTTS*
Yes 51%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 62%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 27% | 73% | 51% | 49% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 62% | 38% | 84% | 16% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 34% | 66% | 67% | 33% |
 | 28% | 72% | 61% | 39% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 87% | 13% | 96% | 4% |
| 83% | 17% | 93% | 7% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
26%
1-1
17%
X-2
16%
X-X
15%
X-1
11%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
1-2
3%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
1-1
11.7%
0-1
10.2%
1-0
9.2%
1-2
8.1%
0-0
7.5%
2-1
7.2%
0-2
6.8%
2-0
5.5%
2-2
4.8%
1-3
3.9%
3-1
3.5%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score