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Mijas Las Lagunas vs Real Jaén Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Copa Del Rey - Season 2026/2027 1st Round (Knock Out)
Mijas Las Lagunas vs Real Jaén — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Copa Del Rey
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Real Jaén to win
Our track record
In 1,795 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.9% of the time (bookmakers said 61.2%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our track record
In 6,447 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.1% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our track record
In 2,859 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.4% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.2% than to our 50–55%.
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our track record
In 4,550 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.4% of the time (bookmakers said 71.3%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our track record
In 2,280 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.4% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 37.3% than to our 40–45%.
Our model’s pick
Mijas Las Lagunas 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 817 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 74.5% of the time (bookmakers said 76.3%).
Our model’s pick
Real Jaén 2+ goals
Our track record
In 1,016 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.6% of the time (bookmakers said 59.4%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Mijas Las Lagunas vs Real Jaén — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Mijas Las Lagunas vs Real Jaén. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Mijas Las Lagunas–
Real Jaén–Winner
2 58%
BTTS*
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 60%
Mijas Las Lagunas–Real Jaén–Winner
2 58%
BTTS*
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 60%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 24% | 76% | 48% | 52% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 60% | 40% | 82% | 18% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 46% | 54% | 79% | 21% |
 | 18% | 82% | 47% | 53% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 94% | 6% | 98% | 2% |
| 73% | 27% | 89% | 11% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
34%
X-2
19%
X-X
16%
1-1
10%
X-1
8%
2-X
5%
1-X
4%
1-2
3%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
1-1
11.6%
0-1
11.5%
0-2
10.0%
1-2
9.8%
0-0
6.8%
0-3
6.5%
1-0
5.8%
1-3
5.5%
2-1
4.9%
2-2
4.5%
2-3
3.2%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score