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UD Pinatar vs Elche Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Copa Del Rey - Season 2026/2027 1st Round (Knock Out)
UD Pinatar vs Elche — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Copa Del Rey
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Elche to win
Our track record
In 65 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 84.6% of the time (bookmakers said 82.6%).
Our model’s pick
No, not both
Our track record
In 5,699 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.9% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our track record
In 3,102 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.4% of the time (bookmakers said 62.7%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our track record
In 259 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.4% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.1% than to our 55–60%.
Our model’s pick
Elche ahead at half-time
Our track record
In 109 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 67.9% of the time (bookmakers said 63.8%).
Our model’s pick
UD Pinatar 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 117 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 85–90% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 87.2% of the time (bookmakers said 84.9%).
Our model’s pick
Elche 2+ goals
Our track record
In 3,359 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.6% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
UD Pinatar vs Elche — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for UD Pinatar vs Elche. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
UD Pinatar–
Elche–Winner
2 80%
BTTS*
No 58%
Correct Score
0-2 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 64%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 52%
UD Pinatar–Elche–Winner
2 80%
BTTS*
No 58%
Correct Score
0-2 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 64%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 52%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 16% | 84% | 36% | 64% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 48% | 52% | 67% | 33% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 67% | 33% | 90% | 10% |
 | 9% | 91% | 26% | 74% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 98% | 2% | 99% | 1% |
| 50% | 50% | 71% | 29% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
60%
X-2
16%
1-1
6%
X-X
6%
X-1
4%
2-X
3%
1-X
2%
1-2
2%
2-1
1%
Correct Score
0-2
13.5%
0-3
11.7%
0-1
9.0%
1-2
8.0%
1-3
5.9%
1-1
5.8%
0-0
4.1%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score