1. Manresa vs Sant Andreu

Manresa vs Sant Andreu 2-2 Score & Prediction Review

Copa Del Rey - Season 2026/2027 1st Round (Knock Out)

Manresa vs Sant Andreu stats: how the match was played

Copa Del Rey

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Sant Andreu had more than twice the shots on target

Manresa

Sant Andreu

1

Shots on target

2

3

Corners

8

1

Yellow cards

4

The match between Manresa and Sant Andreu ended 2-2. Our AI model predicted an Sant Andreu win at 48% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. None of the key markets landed for this fixture — these matches help refine the model and improve future accuracy.

Manresa vs Sant Andreu — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Copa Del Rey

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Sant Andreu to win

Wrong
Our model 48%Bookmakers 49%

Our track record

In 3,498 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.5% of the time (bookmakers said 50.6%).

Both Teams to Score →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Yes, both score.

Our model 54%Bookmakers 46%

Our track record

In 3,096 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Over 2.5 goals.

Our model 57%Bookmakers 47%

Our track record

In 801 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.2% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 55–60%.

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 78%Bookmakers 70%

Our track record

In 3,636 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 76.1% of the time (bookmakers said 76.2%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct
Our model 44%Bookmakers 42%

Our track record

In 6,636 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.4% of the time (bookmakers said 44.1%).

Manresa Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Manresa 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 76%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 828 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 74.0% of the time (bookmakers said 76.5%).

Sant Andreu Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Sant Andreu 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 59%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 1,587 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.7% of the time (bookmakers said 60.8%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Manresa vs Sant Andreu 2-2 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Manresa vs Sant Andreu. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
ManresaManresa2
Sant AndreuSant Andreu2

Winner

X2 75%

BTTS*

No 54%

Correct Score

0-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 57%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 68%

Full Time

125%
X27%
248%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT31%69%57%43%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT68%32%88%12%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Manresa42%58%76%24%
Sant Andreu26%74%59%41%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Manresa93%7%98%2%
Sant Andreu83%18%94%6%

1st Half

123%
X44%
233%

1st Score

137%
X10%
253%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

28%

X-X

17%

X-2

17%

1-1

14%

X-1

10%

1-X

5%

2-X

5%

1-2

2%

2-1

2%

Correct Score

0-1

13.3%

1-1

12.3%

0-0

9.6%

0-2

8.9%

1-2

8.8%

1-0

8.5%

2-1

6.0%

2-0

4.4%

0-3

4.4%

2-2

4.2%

1-3

4.0%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

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